cbb·system

Central Arkansas Bears

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2025

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.92 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.99 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.07 points per possession 0.19
PACE 65.44 possessions per game 4.99

At season 2025's latest cutoff (2025-04-06 19:00), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Central Arkansas AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025. Axis spans 0.59 to 1.27 over 130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2025

SeasonWLPct
20252310 0.697

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbCentral Arkansas auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2025-03-24 2025 Abilene Christian @ Central Arkansas 75–53 other_postseason
2025-03-15 2025 Central Arkansas @ Florida Gulf Coast 51–68 conf_tournament
2025-03-11 2025 Lipscomb @ Central Arkansas 65–70 conf_tournament
2025-03-09 2025 Bellarmine @ Central Arkansas 57–77 conf_tournament
2025-03-02 2025 Central Arkansas @ North Alabama 56–66 regular
2025-02-28 2025 Central Arkansas @ Eastern Kentucky 63–59 regular
2025-02-22 2025 West Georgia @ Central Arkansas 62–72 regular
2025-02-21 2025 Florida Gulf Coast @ Central Arkansas 95–71 regular
2025-02-15 2025 Austin Peay @ Central Arkansas 67–77 regular
2025-02-13 2025 North Alabama @ Central Arkansas 52–73 regular
2025-02-08 2025 Central Arkansas @ North Florida 72–59 regular
2025-02-06 2025 Central Arkansas @ Jacksonville 76–65 regular
2025-02-01 2025 Queens University @ Central Arkansas 50–68 regular
2025-01-31 2025 Central Arkansas @ West Georgia 67–64 regular
2025-01-25 2025 Central Arkansas @ Austin Peay 51–50 regular
2025-01-24 2025 Central Arkansas @ Lipscomb 71–69 regular
2025-01-18 2025 Stetson @ Central Arkansas 64–85 regular
2025-01-17 2025 North Florida @ Central Arkansas 53–67 regular
2025-01-12 2025 Central Arkansas @ Queens University 66–57 regular
2025-01-09 2025 Lipscomb @ Central Arkansas 75–86 regular
2025-01-04 2025 Central Arkansas @ Bellarmine 60–68 regular
2025-01-02 2025 Jacksonville @ Central Arkansas 63–74 regular
2024-12-29 2025 Central Arkansas @ Arkansas 70–87 regular
2024-12-21 2025 Central Arkansas @ Alabama A&M N 53–55 regular
2024-12-20 2025 Central Arkansas @ UL Monroe N 49–65 regular
2024-12-14 2025 Central Arkansas @ Northwestern State 62–52 regular
2024-12-07 2025 Little Rock @ Central Arkansas 42–55 regular
2024-12-01 2025 Central Arkansas @ Kansas State 39–86 regular
2024-11-26 2025 Central Baptist @ Central Arkansas 47–120 non_d1
2024-11-20 2025 Central Arkansas @ Oklahoma State 58–89 regular
2024-11-17 2025 Central Arkansas @ UT Martin 87–67 regular
2024-11-08 2025 Samford @ Central Arkansas 44–63 regular
2024-11-05 2025 Hendrix @ Central Arkansas 30–104 non_d1