cbb·system

Central Arkansas Bears

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2026

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.94 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.87 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.07 points per possession 0.18
PACE 66.76 possessions per game 4.67

At season 2026's latest cutoff (2026-04-05 19:30), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Central Arkansas AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2026. Axis spans 56.59 to 131.49 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2026

SeasonWLPct
20262111 0.656

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbCentral Arkansas auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2026-03-07 2026 Central Arkansas @ Jacksonville N 58–67 conf_tournament
2026-03-06 2026 North Alabama @ Central Arkansas N 56–67 conf_tournament
2026-02-28 2026 Queens University @ Central Arkansas 47–65 regular
2026-02-25 2026 Central Arkansas @ North Alabama 62–55 regular
2026-02-21 2026 Central Arkansas @ West Georgia 73–59 regular
2026-02-19 2026 Austin Peay @ Central Arkansas 63–67 regular
2026-02-14 2026 Central Arkansas @ Bellarmine 85–37 regular
2026-02-12 2026 Central Arkansas @ Eastern Kentucky 60–48 regular
2026-02-10 2026 North Alabama @ Central Arkansas 48–59 regular
2026-02-07 2026 Lipscomb @ Central Arkansas 47–60 regular
2026-02-05 2026 Central Arkansas @ Queens University 64–39 regular
2026-01-31 2026 Stetson @ Central Arkansas 70–64 regular
2026-01-30 2026 Florida Gulf Coast @ Central Arkansas 63–52 regular
2026-01-22 2026 West Georgia @ Central Arkansas 66–87 regular
2026-01-17 2026 Central Arkansas @ North Florida 79–72 regular
2026-01-15 2026 Central Arkansas @ Jacksonville 86–96 regular
2026-01-10 2026 Eastern Kentucky @ Central Arkansas 64–54 regular
2026-01-09 2026 Bellarmine @ Central Arkansas 29–85 regular
2026-01-03 2026 Central Arkansas @ Florida Gulf Coast 51–64 regular
2026-01-01 2026 Central Arkansas @ Stetson 65–43 regular
2025-12-22 2026 Central Arkansas @ Missouri State 61–65 regular
2025-12-18 2026 Central Arkansas @ Louisiana Tech 55–70 regular
2025-12-13 2026 Central Arkansas @ Grambling 82–75 regular
2025-12-07 2026 Central Arkansas @ Little Rock 48–57 regular
2025-12-02 2026 Hendrix @ Central Arkansas 32–74 non_d1
2025-11-26 2026 Central Arkansas @ Georgia State 70–51 regular
2025-11-25 2026 Stony Brook @ Central Arkansas N 42–70 regular
2025-11-24 2026 Samford @ Central Arkansas N 44–67 regular
2025-11-20 2026 Arkansas State @ Central Arkansas 58–81 regular
2025-11-11 2026 Central Arkansas @ Arkansas 77–89 regular
2025-11-08 2026 Lyon @ Central Arkansas 43–115 non_d1
2025-11-04 2026 Central Arkansas @ Missouri 71–78 regular