cbb·system

Colgate Raiders

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2018

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.82 points per possession 0.14
DE 1.04 points per possession 0.12
ME -0.22 points per possession 0.18
PACE 66.91 possessions per game 4.94

At season 2018's latest cutoff (2018-04-01 22:00), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Colgate AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2018. Axis spans 0.71 to 1.29 over 123 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2018

SeasonWLPct
2018723 0.233

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbColgate auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2018-03-03 2018 Colgate @ Holy Cross 47–66 conf_tournament
2018-03-01 2018 Lafayette @ Colgate 55–60 regular
2018-02-24 2018 Colgate @ Holy Cross 52–61 regular
2018-02-21 2018 Colgate @ Army 49–69 regular
2018-02-17 2018 Loyola Maryland @ Colgate 60–71 regular
2018-02-14 2018 Colgate @ Lehigh 54–48 regular
2018-02-10 2018 Bucknell @ Colgate 63–42 regular
2018-02-08 2018 Colgate @ Boston University 64–66 regular
2018-02-03 2018 Navy @ Colgate 69–42 regular
2018-01-27 2018 Colgate @ American University 44–67 regular
2018-01-25 2018 Army @ Colgate 62–54 regular
2018-01-21 2018 Colgate @ Loyola Maryland 55–70 regular
2018-01-18 2018 Lehigh @ Colgate 59–51 regular
2018-01-14 2018 Colgate @ Bucknell 57–77 regular
2018-01-11 2018 Boston University @ Colgate 62–49 regular
2018-01-09 2018 Colgate @ Navy 54–70 regular
2018-01-06 2018 Colgate @ Lafayette 48–63 regular
2018-01-02 2018 American University @ Colgate 77–55 regular
2017-12-30 2018 Holy Cross @ Colgate 71–64 regular
2017-12-22 2018 Niagara @ Colgate 81–44 regular
2017-12-10 2018 Brown @ Colgate 83–73 regular
2017-12-07 2018 Colgate @ Syracuse 39–79 regular
2017-12-02 2018 UMass Lowell @ Colgate 64–84 regular
2017-11-30 2018 Siena @ Colgate 73–70 regular
2017-11-26 2018 Colgate @ Towson 65–61 regular
2017-11-22 2018 Colgate @ Fairleigh Dickinson 51–61 regular
2017-11-19 2018 Colgate @ Arizona State 54–65 regular
2017-11-17 2018 Colgate @ Cornell 74–70 regular
2017-11-14 2018 Colgate @ Yale 56–82 regular
2017-11-11 2018 Colgate @ Canisius 70–63 regular