cbb·system

Colgate Raiders

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2020

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.95 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.94 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.01 points per possession 0.19
PACE 71.74 possessions per game 4.39

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-12 18:00), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Colgate AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020. Axis spans 0.69 to 1.29 over 107 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

SeasonWLPct
20201911 0.633

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbColgate auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2020-03-09 2020 Lehigh @ Colgate 69–62 conf_tournament
2020-03-05 2020 Lehigh @ Colgate 86–70 regular
2020-02-29 2020 Colgate @ Army 67–81 regular
2020-02-27 2020 Bucknell @ Colgate 76–65 regular
2020-02-22 2020 Colgate @ Holy Cross 80–69 regular
2020-02-19 2020 Colgate @ Lehigh 82–73 regular
2020-02-15 2020 Loyola Maryland @ Colgate 70–79 regular
2020-02-13 2020 Boston University @ Colgate 60–58 regular
2020-02-08 2020 Colgate @ Navy 65–53 regular
2020-02-01 2020 Holy Cross @ Colgate 60–71 regular
2020-01-30 2020 Colgate @ Lafayette 39–55 regular
2020-01-25 2020 American University @ Colgate 62–63 regular
2020-01-22 2020 Colgate @ Bucknell 43–66 regular
2020-01-18 2020 Colgate @ Boston University 70–61 regular
2020-01-15 2020 Lafayette @ Colgate 52–73 regular
2020-01-11 2020 Navy @ Colgate 55–80 regular
2020-01-08 2020 Colgate @ Loyola Maryland 76–74 regular
2020-01-05 2020 Army @ Colgate 93–100 regular
2020-01-03 2020 Colgate @ American University 61–63 regular
2019-12-22 2020 Wagner @ Colgate 58–74 regular
2019-12-08 2020 Colgate @ Alabama 52–72 regular
2019-12-05 2020 Siena @ Colgate 51–88 regular
2019-12-01 2020 Niagara @ Colgate 72–85 regular
2019-11-27 2020 Colgate @ Northwestern 44–73 regular
2019-11-24 2020 Colgate @ Saint Louis 51–61 regular
2019-11-21 2020 Colgate @ Canisius 90–69 regular
2019-11-16 2020 Yale @ Colgate 67–70 regular
2019-11-15 2020 Colgate @ Cornell 62–58 regular
2019-11-10 2020 UMass Lowell @ Colgate 51–73 regular
2019-11-06 2020 Colgate @ NJIT 79–52 regular