cbb·system

St. John's Red Storm

mens Big East canonical name from espn_mbb #5 Sweet 16 (out) 2026

Ratings · 2026

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.23 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.94 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.30 points per possession 0.19
PACE 68.74 possessions per game 4.50

At season 2026's latest cutoff (2026-04-07 00:50), with 37 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

St. John's AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2026. Axis spans 0.63 to 1.26 over 131 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2026

SeasonWLPct
2026307 0.811

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdSt. John's auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2026-03-27 2026 St. John's @ Duke N 75–80 ncaa_tournament
2026-03-22 2026 St. John's @ Kansas N 67–65 ncaa_tournament
2026-03-20 2026 Northern Iowa @ St. John's N 53–79 ncaa_tournament
2026-03-14 2026 UConn @ St. John's 52–72 conf_tournament
2026-03-13 2026 Seton Hall @ St. John's 68–78 conf_tournament
2026-03-12 2026 Providence @ St. John's N 72–85 conf_tournament
2026-03-07 2026 St. John's @ Seton Hall 72–65 regular
2026-03-04 2026 Georgetown @ St. John's 69–72 regular
2026-03-01 2026 Villanova @ St. John's 57–89 regular
2026-02-26 2026 St. John's @ UConn 40–72 regular
2026-02-21 2026 Creighton @ St. John's 52–81 regular
2026-02-19 2026 St. John's @ Marquette 76–70 regular
2026-02-14 2026 St. John's @ Providence 79–69 regular
2026-02-09 2026 Xavier @ St. John's 82–87 regular
2026-02-07 2026 UConn @ St. John's 72–81 regular
2026-02-04 2026 St. John's @ DePaul 68–56 regular
2026-01-29 2026 Butler @ St. John's 70–92 regular
2026-01-24 2026 St. John's @ Xavier 88–83 regular
2026-01-21 2026 Seton Hall @ St. John's 60–65 regular
2026-01-18 2026 St. John's @ Villanova 86–79 regular
2026-01-13 2026 Marquette @ St. John's 68–92 regular
2026-01-10 2026 St. John's @ Creighton 90–73 regular
2026-01-07 2026 St. John's @ Butler 84–70 regular
2026-01-03 2026 Providence @ St. John's 77–71 regular
2026-01-01 2026 St. John's @ Georgetown 95–83 regular
2025-12-23 2026 Harvard @ St. John's 59–85 regular
2025-12-20 2026 St. John's @ Kentucky N 66–78 regular
2025-12-17 2026 DePaul @ St. John's 66–79 regular
2025-12-13 2026 Iona @ St. John's 64–91 regular
2025-12-07 2026 Ole Miss @ St. John's 58–63 regular
2025-11-27 2026 St. John's @ Auburn N 74–85 regular
2025-11-25 2026 St. John's @ Baylor N 96–81 regular
2025-11-24 2026 Iowa State @ St. John's N 83–82 regular
2025-11-21 2026 Bucknell @ St. John's 49–97 regular
2025-11-15 2026 William & Mary @ St. John's 60–93 regular
2025-11-08 2026 Alabama @ St. John's 103–96 regular
2025-11-03 2026 Quinnipiac @ St. John's 74–108 regular