cbb·system

Stony Brook Seawolves

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.95 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.01 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.06 points per possession 0.18
PACE 68.99 possessions per game 4.53

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-02 19:30), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Stony Brook AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 0.71 to 1.27 over 125 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20231813 0.581

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbStony Brook auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-11 2023 Stony Brook @ Northeastern N 68–85 conf_tournament
2023-03-10 2023 Elon @ Stony Brook N 51–54 conf_tournament
2023-03-04 2023 Stony Brook @ Monmouth 71–72 regular
2023-03-03 2023 Stony Brook @ Towson 67–76 regular
2023-02-26 2023 Delaware @ Stony Brook 53–51 regular
2023-02-24 2023 Hampton @ Stony Brook 63–70 regular
2023-02-19 2023 Stony Brook @ UNC Wilmington 64–46 regular
2023-02-18 2023 Stony Brook @ Charleston 82–75 regular
2023-02-12 2023 Hofstra @ Stony Brook 60–70 regular
2023-02-10 2023 Stony Brook @ Northeastern 63–68 regular
2023-02-05 2023 Drexel @ Stony Brook 66–65 regular
2023-01-29 2023 Towson @ Stony Brook 66–83 regular
2023-01-26 2023 Charleston @ Stony Brook 76–80 regular
2023-01-22 2023 Stony Brook @ Elon 70–56 regular
2023-01-20 2023 Stony Brook @ North Carolina A&T 60–68 regular
2023-01-13 2023 Monmouth @ Stony Brook 59–69 regular
2023-01-08 2023 Stony Brook @ Drexel 64–81 regular
2023-01-06 2023 UNC Wilmington @ Stony Brook 54–75 regular
2023-01-01 2023 Stony Brook @ Hofstra 67–55 regular
2022-12-30 2023 William & Mary @ Stony Brook 61–89 regular
2022-12-21 2023 Maryland Eastern Shore @ Stony Brook 59–69 regular
2022-12-10 2023 St. Francis Brooklyn @ Stony Brook 59–75 regular
2022-12-08 2023 Columbia @ Stony Brook 84–68 regular
2022-12-03 2023 Stony Brook @ Bucknell 58–64 regular
2022-12-02 2023 Stony Brook @ Pennsylvania 53–73 regular
2022-11-24 2023 Stony Brook @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi N 63–58 regular
2022-11-23 2023 Stony Brook @ High Point N 86–72 regular
2022-11-19 2023 Stony Brook @ St. John's 52–78 regular
2022-11-14 2023 Iona @ Stony Brook 71–73 regular
2022-11-10 2023 Manhattan @ Stony Brook 51–69 regular
2022-11-07 2023 Stony Brook @ Syracuse 56–79 regular