cbb·system

Stony Brook Seawolves

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2015

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.95 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.99 points per possession 0.11
ME -0.05 points per possession 0.16
PACE 64.59 possessions per game 4.84

At season 2015's latest cutoff (2015-03-10 01:00), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Stony Brook AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2015. Axis spans 54.92 to 76.88 over 91 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2015

SeasonWLPct
20151714 0.548

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbStony Brook auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2015-03-19 2015 Stony Brook @ Siena 46–53 other_postseason
2015-03-08 2015 UMBC @ Stony Brook N 49–47 conf_tournament
2015-03-01 2015 Stony Brook @ Hartford 49–56 regular
2015-02-27 2015 Stony Brook @ Binghamton 68–59 regular
2015-02-22 2015 UAlbany @ Stony Brook 64–68 regular
2015-02-19 2015 UMass Lowell @ Stony Brook 36–62 regular
2015-02-15 2015 Stony Brook @ Maine 49–57 regular
2015-02-12 2015 UMBC @ Stony Brook 41–74 regular
2015-02-05 2015 Stony Brook @ Vermont 74–62 regular
2015-02-01 2015 Stony Brook @ New Hampshire 60–52 regular
2015-01-30 2015 Hartford @ Stony Brook 60–58 regular
2015-01-25 2015 Binghamton @ Stony Brook 54–67 regular
2015-01-23 2015 Stony Brook @ UMass Lowell 64–60 regular
2015-01-20 2015 Stony Brook @ UAlbany 59–69 regular
2015-01-17 2015 Maine @ Stony Brook 58–55 regular
2015-01-15 2015 Stony Brook @ UMBC 66–50 regular
2015-01-07 2015 Vermont @ Stony Brook 38–60 regular
2015-01-03 2015 New Hampshire @ Stony Brook 60–52 regular
2014-12-29 2015 Norfolk State @ Stony Brook 46–52 regular
2014-12-28 2015 Western Michigan @ Stony Brook 55–59 regular
2014-12-21 2015 Stony Brook @ Wagner 70–76 regular
2014-12-20 2015 Lafayette @ Stony Brook 58–60 regular
2014-12-13 2015 Stony Brook @ Morgan State 50–48 regular
2014-12-07 2015 Stony Brook @ Iowa State 64–74 regular
2014-12-04 2015 Stony Brook @ St. Francis Brooklyn 55–57 regular
2014-11-30 2015 Stony Brook @ Iona 62–73 regular
2014-11-28 2015 Stony Brook @ Duke 42–72 regular
2014-11-25 2015 Bradley @ Stony Brook 63–79 regular
2014-11-22 2015 Columbia @ Stony Brook 68–82 regular
2014-11-19 2015 Stony Brook @ Army 59–68 regular
2014-11-16 2015 Saint Peter's @ Stony Brook 40–56 regular