cbb·system

Stetson Hatters

mens ASUN canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.14 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.13 points per possession 0.12
ME 0.01 points per possession 0.18
PACE 65.54 possessions per game 4.46

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-04 01:20), with 29 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Stetson AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 0.85 to 1.43 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20231714 0.548

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdStetson auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-19 2023 Stetson @ Milwaukee N 83–87 other_postseason
2023-03-01 2023 Lipscomb @ Stetson 83–70 regular
2023-02-25 2023 Lipscomb @ Stetson 98–91 regular
2023-02-23 2023 Austin Peay @ Stetson 51–76 regular
2023-02-18 2023 Stetson @ Florida Gulf Coast 88–84 regular
2023-02-16 2023 Florida Gulf Coast @ Stetson 72–75 regular
2023-02-11 2023 Stetson @ North Florida 81–92 regular
2023-02-10 2023 Stetson @ Jacksonville 70–67 regular
2023-02-04 2023 Central Arkansas @ Stetson 80–99 regular
2023-02-03 2023 North Alabama @ Stetson 57–79 regular
2023-01-28 2023 Stetson @ Queens University 65–71 regular
2023-01-27 2023 Stetson @ Liberty 45–74 regular
2023-01-21 2023 Jacksonville State @ Stetson 81–87 regular
2023-01-20 2023 Kennesaw State @ Stetson 82–81 regular
2023-01-14 2023 Stetson @ Eastern Kentucky 70–85 regular
2023-01-12 2023 Stetson @ Bellarmine 80–51 regular
2023-01-08 2023 Stetson @ North Alabama 95–85 regular
2023-01-06 2023 Jacksonville @ Stetson 61–73 regular
2023-01-03 2023 North Florida @ Stetson 62–68 regular
2022-12-30 2023 Stetson @ Lipscomb 86–80 regular
2022-12-22 2023 Stetson @ UCF 58–73 regular
2022-12-17 2023 Stetson @ Ohio 66–85 regular
2022-12-15 2023 Stetson @ Charleston 60–65 regular
2022-12-10 2023 Webber International @ Stetson 59–83 non_d1
2022-12-04 2023 Stetson @ Florida 51–89 regular
2022-11-30 2023 Johnson University Florida @ Stetson 51–125 non_d1
2022-11-27 2023 Stetson @ Campbell 85–87 regular
2022-11-19 2023 Niagara @ Stetson N 66–62 regular
2022-11-18 2023 Rider @ Stetson N 68–78 regular
2022-11-15 2023 Stetson @ South Florida 68–67 regular
2022-11-11 2023 Johnson University Florida @ Stetson scheduled non_d1
2022-11-08 2023 Stetson @ Florida State 83–74 regular