cbb·system

Stetson Hatters

mens ASUN canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2025

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.99 points per possession 0.14
DE 1.20 points per possession 0.12
ME -0.22 points per possession 0.18
PACE 67.02 possessions per game 4.39

At season 2025's latest cutoff (2025-04-08 00:50), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Stetson AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025. Axis spans -0.62 to 0.18 over 135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2025

SeasonWLPct
2025824 0.250

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdStetson auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2025-03-03 2025 Central Arkansas @ Stetson N 77–72 conf_tournament
2025-02-27 2025 Stetson @ Jacksonville 72–79 regular
2025-02-25 2025 Bellarmine @ Stetson 67–69 regular
2025-02-21 2025 Florida Gulf Coast @ Stetson 83–80 regular
2025-02-19 2025 North Florida @ Stetson 79–71 regular
2025-02-15 2025 Stetson @ Austin Peay 63–76 regular
2025-02-14 2025 Stetson @ Lipscomb 60–93 regular
2025-02-08 2025 Eastern Kentucky @ Stetson 83–58 regular
2025-02-07 2025 Jacksonville @ Stetson 74–65 regular
2025-02-01 2025 Stetson @ Florida Gulf Coast 56–82 regular
2025-01-30 2025 Stetson @ North Florida 100–101 regular
2025-01-25 2025 Stetson @ Bellarmine 81–76 regular
2025-01-24 2025 Stetson @ Eastern Kentucky 67–66 regular
2025-01-18 2025 West Georgia @ Stetson 78–82 regular
2025-01-17 2025 Queens University @ Stetson 95–60 regular
2025-01-11 2025 North Alabama @ Stetson 92–64 regular
2025-01-10 2025 Central Arkansas @ Stetson 65–75 regular
2025-01-04 2025 Stetson @ West Georgia 78–62 regular
2025-01-03 2025 Stetson @ Queens University 87–96 regular
2024-12-29 2025 Stetson @ Florida 45–85 regular
2024-12-22 2025 Fort Lauderdale @ Stetson 77–103 non_d1
2024-12-18 2025 Stetson @ LSU 53–99 regular
2024-12-14 2025 Florida International @ Stetson 81–72 regular
2024-12-08 2025 Mercer @ Stetson 89–83 regular
2024-12-04 2025 Stetson @ South Florida 72–74 regular
2024-11-23 2025 La Salle @ Stetson N 92–77 regular
2024-11-22 2025 East Carolina @ Stetson N 71–64 regular
2024-11-21 2025 Toledo @ Stetson N 103–78 regular
2024-11-16 2025 Stetson @ Oklahoma 64–85 regular
2024-11-11 2025 Stetson @ The Citadel 52–74 regular
2024-11-08 2025 Omaha @ Stetson 79–76 regular
2024-11-05 2025 New College (FL) @ Stetson 75–94 non_d1