cbb·system

UNLV Rebels

mens Mountain West canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2022

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.11 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.99 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.12 points per possession 0.18
PACE 65.57 possessions per game 4.53

At season 2022's latest cutoff (2022-04-05 01:20), with 34 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

UNLV AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2022. Axis spans 0.69 to 1.30 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2022

SeasonWLPct
20221814 0.562

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdUNLV auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2022-03-10 2022 UNLV @ Wyoming N 56–59 conf_tournament
2022-03-06 2022 UNLV @ New Mexico 67–76 regular
2022-03-03 2022 Wyoming @ UNLV 57–64 regular
2022-02-27 2022 Boise State @ UNLV 86–76 regular
2022-02-23 2022 UNLV @ Nevada 62–54 regular
2022-02-20 2022 Colorado State @ UNLV 51–72 regular
2022-02-17 2022 UNLV @ Fresno State 60–57 regular
2022-02-12 2022 UNLV @ Boise State 63–69 regular
2022-02-09 2022 Air Force @ UNLV 44–78 regular
2022-02-05 2022 UNLV @ Utah State 75–90 regular
2022-02-02 2022 Nevada @ UNLV 58–69 regular
2022-01-29 2022 UNLV @ Colorado State 88–74 regular
2022-01-25 2022 UNLV @ San Diego State 55–80 regular
2022-01-22 2022 San José State @ UNLV 62–70 regular
2022-01-21 2022 UNLV @ Air Force 62–69 regular
2022-01-19 2022 UNLV @ San Diego State scheduled regular
2022-01-18 2022 UNLV @ San José State 81–56 regular
2022-01-15 2022 Fresno State @ UNLV 73–68 regular
2022-01-12 2022 New Mexico @ UNLV 56–85 regular
2022-01-09 2022 UNLV @ Air Force scheduled regular
2022-01-06 2022 UNLV @ San José State scheduled regular
2022-01-01 2022 San Diego State @ UNLV 62–55 regular
2021-12-23 2022 San Diego @ UNLV 57–80 regular
2021-12-16 2022 Omaha @ UNLV 71–84 regular
2021-12-11 2022 Hartford @ UNLV 78–95 regular
2021-12-09 2022 Seattle U @ UNLV 56–76 regular
2021-12-05 2022 UNLV @ San Francisco 62–83 regular
2021-12-02 2022 UNLV @ SMU 64–83 regular
2021-11-27 2022 UCLA @ UNLV 73–51 regular
2021-11-25 2022 Whittier @ UNLV 45–101 non_d1
2021-11-22 2022 Wichita State @ UNLV N 74–73 regular
2021-11-20 2022 Michigan @ UNLV N 74–61 regular
2021-11-16 2022 North Dakota State @ UNLV 62–64 regular
2021-11-14 2022 California @ UNLV 52–55 regular
2021-11-11 2022 Gardner-Webb @ UNLV 58–64 regular