cbb·system

UNLV Rebels

mens Mountain West canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.08 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.00 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.08 points per possession 0.19
PACE 70.08 possessions per game 4.19

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-04 01:20), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

UNLV AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 0.56 to 1.28 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20231913 0.594

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdUNLV auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-10 2023 UNLV @ Boise State N 76–87 conf_tournament
2023-03-08 2023 Air Force @ UNLV N 70–78 conf_tournament
2023-03-04 2023 UNLV @ Nevada 69–67 regular
2023-03-02 2023 Utah State @ UNLV 91–66 regular
2023-02-25 2023 Air Force @ UNLV 53–54 regular
2023-02-20 2023 UNLV @ Boise State 69–73 regular
2023-02-15 2023 San José State @ UNLV 75–66 regular
2023-02-11 2023 UNLV @ San Diego State 71–82 regular
2023-02-09 2023 UNLV @ Wyoming 69–59 regular
2023-02-04 2023 Fresno State @ UNLV 82–79 regular
2023-02-01 2023 UNLV @ Colorado State 83–71 regular
2023-01-29 2023 Nevada @ UNLV 62–68 regular
2023-01-25 2023 Wyoming @ UNLV 72–86 regular
2023-01-21 2023 UNLV @ Fresno State 63–76 regular
2023-01-18 2023 UNLV @ Utah State 71–75 regular
2023-01-15 2023 Colorado State @ UNLV 82–81 regular
2023-01-12 2023 Boise State @ UNLV 84–66 regular
2023-01-08 2023 UNLV @ New Mexico 84–77 regular
2022-12-31 2023 San Diego State @ UNLV 76–67 regular
2022-12-29 2023 UNLV @ San José State 72–75 regular
2022-12-23 2023 Southern Miss @ UNLV 63–74 regular
2022-12-17 2023 San Francisco @ UNLV 75–73 regular
2022-12-10 2023 Washington State @ UNLV N 70–74 regular
2022-12-08 2023 Hawai'i @ UNLV N 62–77 regular
2022-12-04 2023 UNLV @ San Diego 95–78 regular
2022-11-27 2023 Life Pacific @ UNLV 54–126 non_d1
2022-11-24 2023 Minnesota @ UNLV N 62–71 regular
2022-11-22 2023 Southern Illinois @ UNLV N 49–56 regular
2022-11-19 2023 High Point @ UNLV 68–78 regular
2022-11-16 2023 Dayton @ UNLV 52–60 regular
2022-11-12 2023 Incarnate Word @ UNLV 63–88 regular
2022-11-08 2023 Southern @ UNLV 56–66 regular