Ball State Cardinals
mens
MAC
canonical name from espn_mbb
Ratings · 2025
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.04 | points per possession | 0.14 |
| DE | 1.14 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | -0.10 | points per possession | 0.19 |
| PACE | 66.32 | possessions per game | 4.42 |
At season 2025's latest cutoff
(2025-04-08 00:50),
with 28 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025.
Axis spans 0.80 to 1.41 over
135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2025
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 14 | 17 | 0.452 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Ball State | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-07 | 2025 | Ball State @ Miami (OH) | 66–79 | regular |
| 2025-03-05 | 2025 | Central Michigan @ Ball State | 69–67 | regular |
| 2025-03-01 | 2025 | Ball State @ Bowling Green | 52–61 | regular |
| 2025-02-26 | 2025 | Akron @ Ball State | 87–82 | regular |
| 2025-02-22 | 2025 | Buffalo @ Ball State | 66–80 | regular |
| 2025-02-19 | 2025 | Ball State @ Toledo | 66–67 | regular |
| 2025-02-15 | 2025 | Northern Illinois @ Ball State | 83–89 | regular |
| 2025-02-12 | 2025 | Eastern Michigan @ Ball State | 84–86 | regular |
| 2025-02-08 | 2025 | Southern Miss @ Ball State | 76–77 | regular |
| 2025-02-05 | 2025 | Ball State @ Akron | 73–81 | regular |
| 2025-02-01 | 2025 | Ball State @ Buffalo | 89–76 | regular |
| 2025-01-29 | 2025 | Western Michigan @ Ball State | 74–71 | regular |
| 2025-01-25 | 2025 | Ball State @ Northern Illinois | 66–76 | regular |
| 2025-01-22 | 2025 | Ball State @ Central Michigan | 82–80 | regular |
| 2025-01-18 | 2025 | Toledo @ Ball State | 93–75 | regular |
| 2025-01-15 | 2025 | Ball State @ Ohio | 71–86 | regular |
| 2025-01-11 | 2025 | Bowling Green @ Ball State | 69–91 | regular |
| 2025-01-08 | 2025 | Miami (OH) @ Ball State | 80–72 | regular |
| 2025-01-04 | 2025 | Ball State @ Kent State | 75–67 | regular |
| 2024-12-31 | 2025 | Anderson (IN) @ Ball State | 76–89 | non_d1 |
| 2024-12-21 | 2025 | Evansville @ Ball State | 43–80 | regular |
| 2024-12-14 | 2025 | Ball State @ Bellarmine | 86–82 | regular |
| 2024-12-08 | 2025 | Ball State @ SIU Edwardsville | 69–82 | regular |
| 2024-11-27 | 2025 | Ball State @ Richmond N | 60–73 | regular |
| 2024-11-26 | 2025 | Ball State @ Florida Tech N | 94–57 | non_d1 |
| 2024-11-25 | 2025 | Eastern Kentucky @ Ball State N | 61–63 | regular |
| 2024-11-21 | 2025 | Detroit Mercy @ Ball State | 70–59 | regular |
| 2024-11-16 | 2025 | Indiana State @ Ball State | 94–84 | regular |
| 2024-11-14 | 2025 | Ball State @ Dayton | 69–77 | regular |
| 2024-11-08 | 2025 | Franklin @ Ball State | 60–87 | non_d1 |
| 2024-11-05 | 2025 | Ball State @ Georgia State | 66–71 | regular |