Ball State Cardinals
mens
MAC
canonical name from espn_mbb
Ratings · 2021
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.01 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 1.04 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | -0.03 | points per possession | 0.19 |
| PACE | 70.88 | possessions per game | 4.47 |
At season 2021's latest cutoff
(2021-04-06 01:20),
with 29 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up show · hidden
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2021.
Axis spans 0.72 to 1.30 over
56 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played. The warm-up stretch is hidden — the toggle
above brings it back.
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2021
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 10 | 13 | 0.435 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Ball State | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-03-11 | 2021 | Ball State @ Toledo N | 89–91 | conf_tournament |
| 2021-03-06 | 2021 | Ball State @ Toledo | 70–89 | regular |
| 2021-03-03 | 2021 | Eastern Michigan @ Ball State | 65–100 | regular |
| 2021-02-27 | 2021 | Central Michigan @ Ball State | 91–97 | regular |
| 2021-02-24 | 2021 | Kent State @ Ball State | 71–90 | regular |
| 2021-02-22 | 2021 | Western Michigan @ Ball State | canceled | regular |
| 2021-02-20 | 2021 | Akron @ Ball State | 88–79 | regular |
| 2021-02-17 | 2021 | Bowling Green @ Ball State | 75–62 | regular |
| 2021-02-13 | 2021 | Eastern Michigan @ Ball State | scheduled | regular |
| 2021-02-09 | 2021 | Ball State @ Central Michigan | scheduled | regular |
| 2021-02-06 | 2021 | Toledo @ Ball State | 67–81 | regular |
| 2021-02-02 | 2021 | Buffalo @ Ball State | 78–58 | regular |
| 2021-01-30 | 2021 | Ball State @ Akron | 42–74 | regular |
| 2021-01-27 | 2021 | Kent State @ Ball State | scheduled | regular |
| 2021-01-23 | 2021 | Ball State @ Ohio | 77–85 | regular |
| 2021-01-23 | 2021 | Ball State @ Ohio | scheduled | regular |
| 2021-01-20 | 2021 | Ball State @ Miami (OH) | 71–81 | regular |
| 2021-01-16 | 2021 | Northern Illinois @ Ball State | 58–78 | regular |
| 2021-01-13 | 2021 | Ball State @ Bowling Green | 88–64 | regular |
| 2021-01-09 | 2021 | Ball State @ Buffalo | 69–86 | regular |
| 2021-01-06 | 2021 | Western Michigan @ Ball State | canceled | regular |
| 2021-01-02 | 2021 | Ohio @ Ball State | 78–68 | regular |
| 2020-12-22 | 2021 | Ball State @ Western Michigan | 76–68 | regular |
| 2020-12-19 | 2021 | Ball State @ Indiana State | 57–67 | regular |
| 2020-12-13 | 2021 | Illinois State @ Ball State | 66–82 | regular |
| 2020-12-09 | 2021 | Ball State @ Northern Illinois | 79–70 | regular |
| 2020-12-05 | 2021 | UIC @ Ball State | 66–68 | regular |
| 2020-12-03 | 2021 | Ball State @ Michigan | 65–84 | regular |
| 2020-11-25 | 2021 | Ball State @ Northern Kentucky | 73–74 | regular |