cbb·system

Incarnate Word Cardinals

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2026

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.93 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.09 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.15 points per possession 0.18
PACE 67.38 possessions per game 4.65

At season 2026's latest cutoff (2026-04-05 19:30), with 28 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Incarnate Word AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2026. Axis spans 0.64 to 1.24 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2026

SeasonWLPct
20261317 0.433

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbIncarnate Word auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2026-03-09 2026 Nicholls @ Incarnate Word N 81–55 conf_tournament
2026-03-02 2026 Incarnate Word @ UT Rio Grande Valley 64–72 regular
2026-02-28 2026 Lamar @ Incarnate Word 80–69 regular
2026-02-27 2026 Stephen F. Austin @ Incarnate Word 93–71 regular
2026-02-21 2026 Incarnate Word @ East Texas A&M 71–61 regular
2026-02-20 2026 Incarnate Word @ Northwestern State 71–65 regular
2026-02-14 2026 Nicholls @ Incarnate Word 66–72 regular
2026-02-13 2026 LSU New Orleans @ Incarnate Word 77–73 regular
2026-02-07 2026 Incarnate Word @ McNeese 54–75 regular
2026-02-06 2026 Incarnate Word @ SE Louisiana 64–74 regular
2026-01-31 2026 UT Rio Grande Valley @ Incarnate Word 80–70 regular
2026-01-30 2026 Incarnate Word @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 64–70 regular
2026-01-24 2026 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Incarnate Word 73–90 regular
2026-01-23 2026 Incarnate Word @ Houston Christian 74–65 regular
2026-01-17 2026 Northwestern State @ Incarnate Word 53–66 regular
2026-01-16 2026 East Texas A&M @ Incarnate Word 63–70 regular
2026-01-10 2026 Incarnate Word @ Lamar 62–78 regular
2026-01-09 2026 Incarnate Word @ Stephen F. Austin 63–75 regular
2026-01-03 2026 Houston Christian @ Incarnate Word 52–56 regular
2025-12-31 2026 SE Louisiana @ Incarnate Word 59–66 regular
2025-12-30 2026 McNeese @ Incarnate Word 74–53 regular
2025-12-19 2026 Incarnate Word @ LSU New Orleans 79–68 regular
2025-12-17 2026 Incarnate Word @ Nicholls 54–52 regular
2025-12-11 2026 St. Mary's (TX) @ Incarnate Word 48–65 non_d1
2025-12-04 2026 Incarnate Word @ TCU 56–84 regular
2025-11-23 2026 Incarnate Word @ Rice 62–70 regular
2025-11-20 2026 UTSA @ Incarnate Word 74–57 regular
2025-11-11 2026 St. Thomas (TX) @ Incarnate Word 72–86 non_d1
2025-11-08 2026 Incarnate Word @ Abilene Christian 56–69 regular
2025-11-04 2026 Incarnate Word @ Texas 51–123 regular