cbb·system

Incarnate Word Cardinals

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2020

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.81 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.99 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.19 points per possession 0.19
PACE 65.63 possessions per game 4.76

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-12 18:00), with 25 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Incarnate Word AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020. Axis spans 52.96 to 163.91 over 107 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

SeasonWLPct
20201415 0.483

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbIncarnate Word auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2020-03-12 2020 Incarnate Word @ Nicholls N canceled conf_tournament
2020-03-07 2020 Abilene Christian @ Incarnate Word 76–69 regular
2020-03-05 2020 Incarnate Word @ Houston Christian 49–66 regular
2020-02-29 2020 Incarnate Word @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 50–56 regular
2020-02-27 2020 Lamar @ Incarnate Word 67–68 regular
2020-02-22 2020 Stephen F. Austin @ Incarnate Word 52–60 regular
2020-02-20 2020 Incarnate Word @ McNeese 72–71 regular
2020-02-15 2020 Incarnate Word @ LSU New Orleans 57–61 regular
2020-02-13 2020 Northwestern State @ Incarnate Word 39–76 regular
2020-02-08 2020 Incarnate Word @ SE Louisiana 44–58 regular
2020-02-06 2020 Incarnate Word @ Sam Houston 77–74 regular
2020-02-01 2020 Incarnate Word @ Abilene Christian 71–70 regular
2020-01-30 2020 Houston Christian @ Incarnate Word 60–55 regular
2020-01-25 2020 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Incarnate Word 64–38 regular
2020-01-23 2020 Incarnate Word @ Lamar 67–48 regular
2020-01-18 2020 Incarnate Word @ Stephen F. Austin 45–67 regular
2020-01-16 2020 McNeese @ Incarnate Word 56–73 regular
2020-01-11 2020 LSU New Orleans @ Incarnate Word 67–55 regular
2020-01-09 2020 Incarnate Word @ Northwestern State 69–67 regular
2020-01-03 2020 Nicholls @ Incarnate Word 51–53 regular
2019-12-28 2020 Paul Quinn @ Incarnate Word 62–79 non_d1
2019-12-21 2020 San Diego State @ Incarnate Word 57–48 regular
2019-12-19 2020 Central Arkansas @ Incarnate Word 47–37 regular
2019-12-14 2020 St. Thomas (TX) @ Incarnate Word 52–74 non_d1
2019-12-04 2020 Incarnate Word @ Kansas State 41–85 regular
2019-11-27 2020 Incarnate Word @ Colorado State 47–75 regular
2019-11-23 2020 Incarnate Word @ Ohio 41–78 regular
2019-11-19 2020 Texas A&M International @ Incarnate Word 38–55 non_d1
2019-11-12 2020 Incarnate Word @ UTSA 56–63 regular
2019-11-06 2020 Schreiner @ Incarnate Word 35–70 non_d1