cbb·system

Incarnate Word Cardinals

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2021

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.79 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.04 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.26 points per possession 0.19
PACE 66.54 possessions per game 5.40

At season 2021's latest cutoff (2021-04-04 22:00), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Incarnate Word AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2021. Axis spans 55.61 to 150.27 over 102 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2021

SeasonWLPct
202169 0.400

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbIncarnate Word auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2021-03-10 2021 Incarnate Word @ Abilene Christian N 70–81 conf_tournament
2021-03-06 2021 Incarnate Word @ Abilene Christian 55–64 regular
2021-03-04 2021 Houston Christian @ Incarnate Word 59–68 regular
2021-03-01 2021 Lamar @ Incarnate Word 59–48 regular
2021-02-27 2021 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Incarnate Word 60–58 regular
2021-02-25 2021 Incarnate Word @ Lamar 55–59 regular
2021-02-22 2021 Incarnate Word @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi canceled regular
2021-02-20 2021 Incarnate Word @ Stephen F. Austin canceled regular
2021-02-19 2021 McNeese @ Incarnate Word canceled regular
2021-02-16 2021 Incarnate Word @ Houston Christian canceled regular
2021-02-13 2021 LSU New Orleans @ Incarnate Word 57–60 regular
2021-02-11 2021 Incarnate Word @ Northwestern State 56–47 regular
2021-02-09 2021 Incarnate Word @ McNeese 66–47 regular
2021-02-04 2021 Incarnate Word @ McNeese canceled regular
2021-02-02 2021 Incarnate Word @ LSU New Orleans canceled regular
2021-01-30 2021 Abilene Christian @ Incarnate Word canceled regular
2021-01-23 2021 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Incarnate Word postponed regular
2021-01-21 2021 Lamar @ Incarnate Word postponed regular
2021-01-18 2021 Northwestern State @ Incarnate Word canceled regular
2021-01-16 2021 Stephen F. Austin @ Incarnate Word 91–48 regular
2021-01-14 2021 Incarnate Word @ McNeese postponed regular
2021-01-09 2021 Incarnate Word @ LSU New Orleans postponed regular
2021-01-07 2021 Northwestern State @ Incarnate Word postponed regular
2020-12-29 2021 Incarnate Word @ Texas Tech 47–100 regular
2020-12-21 2021 Incarnate Word @ UT Rio Grande Valley canceled regular
2020-12-17 2021 LeTourneau @ Incarnate Word canceled non_d1
2020-12-13 2021 Incarnate Word @ UTSA canceled regular
2020-12-10 2021 Texas State @ Incarnate Word canceled regular
2020-12-05 2021 Sul Ross State @ Incarnate Word 51–75 non_d1
2020-12-04 2021 UTSA @ Incarnate Word 63–69 regular
2020-11-28 2021 Incarnate Word @ UTEP 63–67 regular
2020-11-25 2021 Incarnate Word @ TCU 59–84 regular