North Dakota State Bison

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Ratings · 2023

Dimension	Value	Unit	σ
OE	0.96	points per possession	0.13
DE	0.99	points per possession	0.13
ME	-0.02	points per possession	0.18
PACE	69.47	possessions per game	4.53

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-02 19:30), with 29 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 0.61 to 1.26 over 125 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

Season	W	L	Pct
2023	18	12	0.600

Season

Pct

2023

0.600

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

Source	Name	Reviewed
espn_wbb	North Dakota State	auto

Source

Name

Reviewed

espn_wbb

North Dakota State

auto

Schedule & results

Date	S	Matchup	Score	Type
2023-03-18	2023	North Dakota State @ Oregon	57–96	other_postseason
2023-03-04	2023	Kansas City @ North Dakota State N	71–64	conf_tournament
2023-02-25	2023	North Dakota State @ Western Illinois	82–74	regular
2023-02-24	2023	North Dakota State @ St. Thomas	64–44	regular
2023-02-18	2023	Oral Roberts @ North Dakota State	86–103	regular
2023-02-17	2023	Kansas City @ North Dakota State	75–86	regular
2023-02-11	2023	North Dakota State @ Denver	71–83	regular
2023-02-10	2023	North Dakota State @ Omaha	58–63	regular
2023-02-04	2023	South Dakota State @ North Dakota State	82–54	regular
2023-02-03	2023	South Dakota @ North Dakota State	82–86	regular
2023-01-28	2023	North Dakota State @ North Dakota	73–82	regular
2023-01-21	2023	North Dakota State @ Kansas City	75–66	regular
2023-01-20	2023	North Dakota State @ Oral Roberts	53–75	regular
2023-01-14	2023	Omaha @ North Dakota State	71–83	regular
2023-01-13	2023	Denver @ North Dakota State	43–71	regular
2023-01-07	2023	North Dakota State @ South Dakota	79–76	regular
2023-01-06	2023	North Dakota State @ South Dakota State	63–94	regular
2022-12-31	2023	North Dakota @ North Dakota State	76–81	regular
2022-12-21	2023	St. Thomas @ North Dakota State	56–74	regular
2022-12-20	2023	Western Illinois @ North Dakota State	60–84	regular
2022-12-10	2023	North Dakota State @ Green Bay	52–70	regular
2022-12-06	2023	North Dakota State @ Northern Iowa	70–79	regular
2022-12-03	2023	North Dakota State @ Central Michigan	65–66	regular
2022-12-02	2023	North Dakota State @ Eastern Michigan	55–73	regular
2022-11-27	2023	North Dakota State @ Nevada	73–68	regular
2022-11-26	2023	North Dakota State @ Boise State N	68–53	regular
2022-11-23	2023	Northern Colorado @ North Dakota State	54–68	regular
2022-11-18	2023	Minnesota @ North Dakota State	65–71	regular
2022-11-15	2023	Valley City State @ North Dakota State	45–96	non_d1
2022-11-10	2023	Mayville State @ North Dakota State	canceled	non_d1
2022-11-08	2023	North Dakota State @ Montana	65–63	regular