cbb·system

North Dakota State Bison

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2014

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.97 points per possession 0.12
DE 1.04 points per possession 0.11
ME -0.08 points per possession 0.16
PACE 70.32 possessions per game 4.78

At season 2014's latest cutoff (2014-04-09 00:30), with 28 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

North Dakota State AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2014. Axis spans 0.65 to 1.22 over 98 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2014

SeasonWLPct
2014624 0.200

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbNorth Dakota State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2014-03-08 2014 North Dakota State @ IU Indianapolis N 64–72 conf_tournament
2014-03-01 2014 North Dakota State @ Denver 74–87 regular
2014-02-28 2014 North Dakota State @ South Dakota 87–95 regular
2014-02-22 2014 North Dakota State @ South Dakota State 53–75 regular
2014-02-15 2014 Omaha @ North Dakota State 68–57 regular
2014-02-14 2014 Western Illinois @ North Dakota State 76–68 regular
2014-02-08 2014 North Dakota State @ Purdue Fort Wayne 51–57 regular
2014-02-07 2014 North Dakota State @ IU Indianapolis 53–77 regular
2014-02-01 2014 Denver @ North Dakota State 79–85 regular
2014-01-31 2014 South Dakota @ North Dakota State 83–70 regular
2014-01-25 2014 South Dakota State @ North Dakota State 73–53 regular
2014-01-23 2014 Valley City State @ North Dakota State 61–83 non_d1
2014-01-18 2014 North Dakota State @ Western Illinois 83–77 regular
2014-01-17 2014 North Dakota State @ Omaha 48–66 regular
2014-01-11 2014 IU Indianapolis @ North Dakota State 71–46 regular
2014-01-10 2014 Purdue Fort Wayne @ North Dakota State 98–89 regular
2014-01-03 2014 Northern Colorado @ North Dakota State 74–70 regular
2013-12-29 2014 North Dakota State @ Northwestern State N 50–57 regular
2013-12-28 2014 North Dakota State @ UTSA 68–79 regular
2013-12-18 2014 Mississippi State @ North Dakota State 72–62 regular
2013-12-14 2014 North Dakota State @ North Dakota 83–88 regular
2013-12-07 2014 North Dakota State @ Wyoming N 69–72 regular
2013-12-07 2014 North Dakota State @ Air Force 63–82 regular
2013-11-30 2014 UC Irvine @ North Dakota State N 61–64 regular
2013-11-29 2014 North Dakota State @ Montana N 70–53 regular
2013-11-23 2014 North Dakota State @ Milwaukee 64–76 regular
2013-11-21 2014 Northern Iowa @ North Dakota State 86–82 regular
2013-11-16 2014 North Dakota State @ Harvard 56–85 regular
2013-11-15 2014 North Dakota State @ Maine 59–64 regular
2013-11-08 2014 Mayville State @ North Dakota State 62–112 non_d1