cbb·system

North Dakota State Bison

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2015

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.94 points per possession 0.12
DE 1.14 points per possession 0.10
ME -0.20 points per possession 0.16
PACE 77.52 possessions per game 4.15

At season 2015's latest cutoff (2015-03-10 01:00), with 28 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

North Dakota State AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2015. Axis spans 0.65 to 1.20 over 91 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2015

SeasonWLPct
20151118 0.379

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbNorth Dakota State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2015-03-08 2015 North Dakota State @ Oral Roberts N 58–71 conf_tournament
2015-02-27 2015 Denver @ North Dakota State 68–87 regular
2015-02-21 2015 North Dakota State @ Purdue Fort Wayne 72–66 regular
2015-02-20 2015 North Dakota State @ IU Indianapolis 65–76 regular
2015-02-14 2015 Omaha @ North Dakota State 73–65 regular
2015-02-12 2015 North Dakota State @ Oral Roberts 41–67 regular
2015-02-08 2015 South Dakota @ North Dakota State 83–79 regular
2015-02-07 2015 Western Illinois @ North Dakota State 66–60 regular
2015-01-31 2015 North Dakota State @ South Dakota State 52–82 regular
2015-01-24 2015 North Dakota State @ Western Illinois 66–88 regular
2015-01-23 2015 North Dakota State @ Omaha 77–60 regular
2015-01-17 2015 Purdue Fort Wayne @ North Dakota State 60–81 regular
2015-01-16 2015 North Dakota State @ South Dakota 69–84 regular
2015-01-11 2015 North Dakota State @ Denver 73–75 regular
2015-01-09 2015 IU Indianapolis @ North Dakota State 63–68 regular
2015-01-04 2015 South Dakota State @ North Dakota State 78–83 regular
2015-01-02 2015 Oral Roberts @ North Dakota State 64–77 regular
2014-12-21 2015 North Dakota State @ Grand Canyon 54–69 regular
2014-12-20 2015 North Dakota State @ Cal State Fullerton 79–86 regular
2014-12-14 2015 North Dakota State @ New Mexico State 59–79 regular
2014-12-12 2015 North Dakota State @ Northern Iowa 41–56 regular
2014-12-09 2015 Mayville State @ North Dakota State 66–83 non_d1
2014-12-07 2015 North Dakota @ North Dakota State 90–87 regular
2014-12-03 2015 North Dakota State @ Mississippi State 58–109 regular
2014-11-30 2015 North Dakota State @ NJIT N 60–48 regular
2014-11-28 2015 North Dakota State @ Northeastern N 79–72 regular
2014-11-20 2015 North Dakota State @ Western Michigan 59–74 regular
2014-11-16 2015 Milwaukee @ North Dakota State 77–73 regular
2014-11-14 2015 Kent State @ North Dakota State 68–74 regular