cbb·system

North Dakota State Bison

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2020

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.94 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.01 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.07 points per possession 0.19
PACE 69.98 possessions per game 4.46

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-12 18:00), with 28 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

North Dakota State AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020. Axis spans 60.51 to 164.49 over 107 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

SeasonWLPct
20201119 0.367

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbNorth Dakota State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2020-03-09 2020 North Dakota State @ South Dakota State N 56–76 conf_tournament
2020-03-08 2020 North Dakota State @ Denver N 72–68 conf_tournament
2020-02-29 2020 Omaha @ North Dakota State 64–67 regular
2020-02-27 2020 South Dakota State @ North Dakota State 85–58 regular
2020-02-23 2020 North Dakota State @ North Dakota 82–74 regular
2020-02-21 2020 North Dakota State @ South Dakota 57–96 regular
2020-02-14 2020 Purdue Fort Wayne @ North Dakota State 53–74 regular
2020-02-09 2020 Oral Roberts @ North Dakota State 80–76 regular
2020-02-07 2020 North Dakota State @ Omaha 74–65 regular
2020-02-01 2020 North Dakota State @ Western Illinois 79–86 regular
2020-01-30 2020 North Dakota State @ Purdue Fort Wayne 58–44 regular
2020-01-26 2020 Denver @ North Dakota State 80–85 regular
2020-01-25 2020 North Dakota State @ South Dakota State 52–60 regular
2020-01-19 2020 North Dakota @ North Dakota State 82–92 regular
2020-01-17 2020 South Dakota @ North Dakota State 80–36 regular
2020-01-09 2020 North Dakota State @ Oral Roberts 62–70 regular
2020-01-02 2020 Western Illinois @ North Dakota State 79–78 regular
2019-12-29 2020 North Dakota State @ Denver 82–91 regular
2019-12-22 2020 Waldorf @ North Dakota State 26–92 non_d1
2019-12-15 2020 Mayville State @ North Dakota State 59–97 non_d1
2019-12-08 2020 Wisconsin @ North Dakota State 64–63 regular
2019-12-06 2020 North Dakota State @ Bradley 64–70 regular
2019-12-01 2020 North Dakota State @ New Hampshire 67–61 regular
2019-11-30 2020 North Dakota State @ Northeastern 61–72 regular
2019-11-26 2020 Wyoming @ North Dakota State 66–57 regular
2019-11-23 2020 Iowa State @ North Dakota State 86–58 regular
2019-11-19 2020 North Dakota State @ Creighton 59–70 regular
2019-11-16 2020 Valparaiso @ North Dakota State 66–54 regular
2019-11-10 2020 Northern Illinois @ North Dakota State 74–68 regular
2019-11-07 2020 North Dakota State @ Northern Iowa 63–95 regular