cbb·system

Villanova Wildcats

mens Big East canonical name from espn_mbb #2 Final Four (out) 2022

Ratings · 2022

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.22 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.93 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.30 points per possession 0.18
PACE 61.70 possessions per game 4.76

At season 2022's latest cutoff (2022-04-05 01:20), with 39 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Villanova AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2022. Axis spans 0.58 to 1.22 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2022

SeasonWLPct
2022308 0.789

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdVillanova auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2022-04-02 2022 Villanova @ Kansas N 65–81 ncaa_tournament
2022-03-26 2022 Houston @ Villanova N 44–50 ncaa_tournament
2022-03-24 2022 Michigan @ Villanova N 55–63 ncaa_tournament
2022-03-20 2022 Ohio State @ Villanova N 61–71 ncaa_tournament
2022-03-18 2022 Delaware @ Villanova N 60–80 ncaa_tournament
2022-03-12 2022 Creighton @ Villanova N 48–54 conf_tournament
2022-03-12 2022 UConn @ Villanova N 60–63 conf_tournament
2022-03-11 2022 St. John's @ Villanova N 65–66 conf_tournament
2022-03-05 2022 Villanova @ Butler 78–59 regular
2022-03-01 2022 Providence @ Villanova 74–76 regular
2022-02-23 2022 Villanova @ UConn 69–71 regular
2022-02-19 2022 Georgetown @ Villanova 66–74 regular
2022-02-16 2022 Villanova @ Providence 89–84 regular
2022-02-12 2022 Seton Hall @ Villanova 67–73 regular
2022-02-09 2022 Villanova @ St. John's 75–69 regular
2022-02-05 2022 UConn @ Villanova 74–85 regular
2022-02-03 2022 Villanova @ Marquette 73–83 regular
2022-01-29 2022 St. John's @ Villanova 62–73 regular
2022-01-26 2022 DePaul @ Villanova 43–67 regular
2022-01-22 2022 Villanova @ Georgetown 85–74 regular
2022-01-20 2022 Marquette @ Villanova 57–54 regular
2022-01-16 2022 Butler @ Villanova 42–82 regular
2022-01-12 2022 Villanova @ Xavier 64–60 regular
2022-01-08 2022 Villanova @ DePaul 79–64 regular
2022-01-06 2022 Creighton @ Villanova 41–75 regular
2022-01-01 2022 Villanova @ Seton Hall 73–67 regular
2021-12-30 2022 Temple @ Villanova canceled regular
2021-12-22 2022 Xavier @ Villanova 58–71 regular
2021-12-18 2022 Villanova @ Creighton 59–79 regular
2021-12-12 2022 Villanova @ Baylor 36–57 regular
2021-12-08 2022 Villanova @ Syracuse N 67–53 regular
2021-12-04 2022 Saint Joseph's @ Villanova 52–81 regular
2021-12-02 2022 Villanova @ Pennsylvania 71–56 regular
2021-11-28 2022 Villanova @ La Salle N 72–46 regular
2021-11-21 2022 Villanova @ Purdue N 74–80 regular
2021-11-20 2022 Villanova @ Tennessee N 71–53 regular
2021-11-16 2022 Howard @ Villanova 81–100 regular
2021-11-13 2022 Villanova @ UCLA 77–86 regular
2021-11-09 2022 Mount St. Mary's @ Villanova 51–91 regular