cbb·system

Villanova Wildcats

mens Big East canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2024

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.14 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.95 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.19 points per possession 0.19
PACE 64.00 possessions per game 4.72

At season 2024's latest cutoff (2024-04-09 01:20), with 34 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Villanova AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2024. Axis spans 0.64 to 1.25 over 135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2024

SeasonWLPct
20241816 0.529

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdVillanova auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2024-03-21 2024 VCU @ Villanova 70–61 nit
2024-03-15 2024 Villanova @ Marquette N 65–71 conf_tournament
2024-03-14 2024 DePaul @ Villanova N 57–58 conf_tournament
2024-03-09 2024 Creighton @ Villanova 69–67 regular
2024-03-06 2024 Villanova @ Seton Hall 56–66 regular
2024-03-02 2024 Villanova @ Providence 71–60 regular
2024-02-27 2024 Georgetown @ Villanova 47–75 regular
2024-02-25 2024 Villanova @ UConn 54–78 regular
2024-02-20 2024 Butler @ Villanova 62–72 regular
2024-02-17 2024 Villanova @ Georgetown 70–54 regular
2024-02-11 2024 Seton Hall @ Villanova 54–80 regular
2024-02-08 2024 Villanova @ Xavier 53–56 regular
2024-02-04 2024 Providence @ Villanova 50–68 regular
2024-01-31 2024 Marquette @ Villanova 85–80 regular
2024-01-27 2024 Villanova @ Butler 81–88 regular
2024-01-25 2024 Villanova @ St. John's 50–70 regular
2024-01-21 2024 UConn @ Villanova 66–65 regular
2024-01-15 2024 Villanova @ Marquette 74–87 regular
2024-01-13 2024 DePaul @ Villanova 69–94 regular
2024-01-06 2024 St. John's @ Villanova 81–71 regular
2024-01-04 2024 Xavier @ Villanova 65–66 regular
2023-12-23 2024 Villanova @ DePaul 84–48 regular
2023-12-21 2024 Villanova @ Creighton 68–66 regular
2023-12-10 2024 UCLA @ Villanova 56–65 regular
2023-12-06 2024 Villanova @ Kansas State 71–72 regular
2023-12-02 2024 Drexel @ Villanova N 57–55 regular
2023-11-29 2024 Saint Joseph's @ Villanova 78–65 regular
2023-11-24 2024 Memphis @ Villanova N 63–79 regular
2023-11-23 2024 Villanova @ North Carolina N 83–81 regular
2023-11-22 2024 Texas Tech @ Villanova N 69–85 regular
2023-11-18 2024 Maryland @ Villanova 40–57 regular
2023-11-14 2024 Villanova @ Pennsylvania 72–76 regular
2023-11-10 2024 Le Moyne @ Villanova 57–83 regular
2023-11-07 2024 American University @ Villanova 63–90 regular