cbb·system

Villanova Wildcats

mens Big East canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2025

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.22 points per possession 0.12
DE 1.03 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.20 points per possession 0.19
PACE 62.79 possessions per game 4.59

At season 2025's latest cutoff (2025-04-08 00:50), with 36 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Villanova AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025. Axis spans 0.73 to 1.44 over 135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2025

SeasonWLPct
20252115 0.583

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdVillanova auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2025-04-05 2025 UCF @ Villanova N 104–98 other_postseason
2025-04-04 2025 Villanova @ USC N 60–59 other_postseason
2025-04-02 2025 Villanova @ Colorado N 85–64 other_postseason
2025-03-14 2025 Villanova @ UConn N 56–73 conf_tournament
2025-03-13 2025 Seton Hall @ Villanova N 55–67 conf_tournament
2025-03-05 2025 Villanova @ Georgetown 73–75 regular
2025-03-01 2025 Butler @ Villanova 70–80 regular
2025-02-27 2025 Villanova @ Seton Hall 59–54 regular
2025-02-22 2025 Marquette @ Villanova 66–81 regular
2025-02-18 2025 Villanova @ UConn 59–66 regular
2025-02-15 2025 Villanova @ Providence 62–75 regular
2025-02-12 2025 St. John's @ Villanova 71–73 regular
2025-02-09 2025 Xavier @ Villanova 68–80 regular
2025-02-06 2025 Villanova @ DePaul 59–49 regular
2025-02-01 2025 Creighton @ Villanova 62–60 regular
2025-01-25 2025 Villanova @ Marquette 74–87 regular
2025-01-20 2025 Georgetown @ Villanova 64–63 regular
2025-01-18 2025 Providence @ Villanova 73–75 regular
2025-01-14 2025 Villanova @ Xavier 63–69 regular
2025-01-12 2025 Villanova @ St. John's 68–80 regular
2025-01-08 2025 UConn @ Villanova 66–68 regular
2025-01-04 2025 DePaul @ Villanova 56–100 regular
2025-01-01 2025 Villanova @ Butler 73–65 regular
2024-12-21 2025 Villanova @ Creighton 79–86 regular
2024-12-18 2025 Seton Hall @ Villanova 67–79 regular
2024-12-12 2025 Fairleigh Dickinson @ Villanova 72–86 regular
2024-12-07 2025 Villanova @ Temple N 94–65 regular
2024-12-03 2025 Cincinnati @ Villanova 60–68 regular
2024-11-28 2025 Rider @ Villanova 48–72 regular
2024-11-24 2025 Villanova @ Maryland N 75–76 regular
2024-11-20 2025 Pennsylvania @ Villanova 49–93 regular
2024-11-15 2025 Virginia @ Villanova N 70–60 regular
2024-11-12 2025 Villanova @ Saint Joseph's 76–83 regular
2024-11-09 2025 NJIT @ Villanova 54–91 regular
2024-11-07 2025 Columbia @ Villanova 90–80 regular
2024-11-05 2025 Lafayette @ Villanova 63–75 regular