cbb·system

Villanova Wildcats

mens Big East canonical name from espn_mbb #8 Round of 64 (out) 2026

Ratings · 2026

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.25 points per possession 0.12
DE 1.00 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.24 points per possession 0.19
PACE 65.55 possessions per game 4.62

At season 2026's latest cutoff (2026-04-07 00:50), with 33 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Villanova AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2026. Axis spans 52.64 to 75.21 over 131 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2026

SeasonWLPct
2026249 0.727

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdVillanova auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2026-03-20 2026 Utah State @ Villanova N 86–76 ncaa_tournament
2026-03-13 2026 Georgetown @ Villanova N 78–64 conf_tournament
2026-03-07 2026 Xavier @ Villanova 78–91 regular
2026-03-05 2026 Villanova @ DePaul 76–57 regular
2026-03-01 2026 Villanova @ St. John's 57–89 regular
2026-02-26 2026 Butler @ Villanova 73–82 regular
2026-02-21 2026 UConn @ Villanova 73–63 regular
2026-02-17 2026 Villanova @ Xavier 92–89 regular
2026-02-14 2026 Villanova @ Creighton 80–69 regular
2026-02-11 2026 Marquette @ Villanova 74–77 regular
2026-02-07 2026 Villanova @ Georgetown 80–73 regular
2026-02-04 2026 Seton Hall @ Villanova 60–72 regular
2026-01-31 2026 Providence @ Villanova 73–87 regular
2026-01-24 2026 Villanova @ UConn 67–75 regular
2026-01-22 2026 Georgetown @ Villanova 51–66 regular
2026-01-18 2026 St. John's @ Villanova 86–79 regular
2026-01-13 2026 Villanova @ Providence 88–82 regular
2026-01-10 2026 Villanova @ Marquette 76–73 regular
2026-01-08 2026 Creighton @ Villanova 76–72 regular
2026-01-03 2026 Villanova @ Butler 85–67 regular
2025-12-31 2026 DePaul @ Villanova 66–71 regular
2025-12-24 2026 Villanova @ Seton Hall 64–56 regular
2025-12-20 2026 Wisconsin @ Villanova N 66–76 regular
2025-12-13 2026 Pittsburgh @ Villanova 61–79 regular
2025-12-09 2026 Villanova @ Michigan 61–89 regular
2025-12-07 2026 Pennsylvania @ Villanova 63–90 regular
2025-12-01 2026 Temple @ Villanova 56–74 regular
2025-11-26 2026 Old Dominion @ Villanova 75–89 regular
2025-11-20 2026 Villanova @ La Salle 70–55 regular
2025-11-16 2026 Duquesne @ Villanova 77–87 regular
2025-11-12 2026 Sacred Heart @ Villanova 60–94 regular
2025-11-09 2026 Queens University @ Villanova 74–94 regular
2025-11-04 2026 Villanova @ BYU N 66–71 regular