cbb·system

TCU Horned Frogs

mens Big 12 canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2025

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.08 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.98 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.10 points per possession 0.19
PACE 65.58 possessions per game 4.42

At season 2025's latest cutoff (2025-04-08 00:50), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

TCU AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025. Axis spans 0.62 to 1.27 over 135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2025

SeasonWLPct
20251616 0.500

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdTCU auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2025-03-11 2025 Colorado @ TCU N 69–67 conf_tournament
2025-03-08 2025 TCU @ Colorado 56–76 regular
2025-03-05 2025 Baylor @ TCU 61–58 regular
2025-03-01 2025 UCF @ TCU 78–89 regular
2025-02-26 2025 TCU @ West Virginia 55–73 regular
2025-02-22 2025 TCU @ Cincinnati 63–75 regular
2025-02-19 2025 Texas Tech @ TCU 66–69 regular
2025-02-16 2025 TCU @ Arizona State 74–70 regular
2025-02-13 2025 Oklahoma State @ TCU 72–73 regular
2025-02-08 2025 TCU @ Iowa State 52–82 regular
2025-02-06 2025 West Virginia @ TCU 60–65 regular
2025-02-02 2025 Colorado @ TCU 57–68 regular
2025-01-30 2025 TCU @ Texas Tech 57–71 regular
2025-01-25 2025 TCU @ UCF 58–85 regular
2025-01-23 2025 Kansas @ TCU 74–61 regular
2025-01-19 2025 TCU @ Baylor 74–71 regular
2025-01-16 2025 Utah @ TCU 73–65 regular
2025-01-11 2025 BYU @ TCU 67–71 regular
2025-01-07 2025 TCU @ Houston 46–65 regular
2025-01-04 2025 Kansas State @ TCU 62–63 regular
2024-12-31 2025 TCU @ Arizona 81–90 regular
2024-12-22 2025 Montana State @ TCU 48–82 regular
2024-12-17 2025 South Alabama @ TCU 49–58 regular
2024-12-08 2025 Vanderbilt @ TCU N 83–74 regular
2024-12-06 2025 Xavier @ TCU 72–76 regular
2024-11-29 2025 TCU @ Colorado State N 72–76 regular
2024-11-28 2025 Santa Clara @ TCU N 69–52 regular
2024-11-20 2025 Alcorn State @ TCU 48–71 regular
2024-11-15 2025 TCU @ Michigan 64–76 regular
2024-11-13 2025 Texas State @ TCU 71–76 regular
2024-11-09 2025 Florida Gulf Coast @ TCU 51–67 regular
2024-11-05 2025 Florida A&M @ TCU 59–105 regular