cbb·system

Samford Bulldogs

mens SoCon canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2025

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.15 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.11 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.04 points per possession 0.18
PACE 70.61 possessions per game 4.23

At season 2025's latest cutoff (2025-04-08 00:50), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Samford AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025. Axis spans 60.71 to 81.89 over 135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2025

SeasonWLPct
20252211 0.667

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdSamford auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2025-03-19 2025 Samford @ George Mason 69–86 nit
2025-03-09 2025 Furman @ Samford N 95–78 conf_tournament
2025-03-01 2025 Samford @ UNC Greensboro 100–108 regular
2025-02-27 2025 Samford @ VMI 95–83 regular
2025-02-22 2025 Western Carolina @ Samford 72–93 regular
2025-02-20 2025 Furman @ Samford 80–72 regular
2025-02-15 2025 Samford @ Wofford 76–68 regular
2025-02-13 2025 Chattanooga @ Samford 82–68 regular
2025-02-08 2025 Samford @ East Tennessee State 59–66 regular
2025-02-06 2025 Mercer @ Samford 79–100 regular
2025-02-01 2025 Samford @ The Citadel 83–58 regular
2025-01-29 2025 Samford @ Furman 70–72 regular
2025-01-25 2025 Wofford @ Samford 61–77 regular
2025-01-24 2025 Samford @ Chattanooga 73–69 regular
2025-01-18 2025 East Tennessee State @ Samford 65–60 regular
2025-01-16 2025 Samford @ Mercer 75–74 regular
2025-01-11 2025 UNC Greensboro @ Samford 69–76 regular
2025-01-10 2025 VMI @ Samford 68–81 regular
2025-01-04 2025 Samford @ Western Carolina 88–69 regular
2025-01-02 2025 The Citadel @ Samford 56–86 regular
2024-12-21 2025 Samford @ Alabama A&M 97–90 regular
2024-12-19 2025 Samford @ Arizona 64–96 regular
2024-12-08 2025 Austin Peay @ Samford 47–72 regular
2024-12-06 2025 Samford @ South Carolina State 88–81 regular
2024-11-29 2025 West Georgia @ Samford 65–86 regular
2024-11-28 2025 Utah Valley @ Samford 76–84 regular
2024-11-27 2025 North Dakota State @ Samford 98–103 regular
2024-11-20 2025 Samford @ Michigan State 75–83 regular
2024-11-17 2025 Texas Southern @ Samford 82–97 regular
2024-11-16 2025 Samford @ North Alabama 97–96 regular
2024-11-13 2025 Rhodes @ Samford 52–108 non_d1
2024-11-08 2025 Samford @ Cornell 86–88 regular
2024-11-05 2025 Mississippi College @ Samford 58–100 non_d1