cbb·system

Montana Grizzlies

mens Big Sky canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.10 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.08 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.01 points per possession 0.18
PACE 62.66 possessions per game 4.61

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-04 01:20), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Montana AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 0.77 to 1.35 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20231714 0.548

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdMontana auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-08 2023 Northern Arizona @ Montana N 83–71 conf_tournament
2023-03-07 2023 Idaho State @ Montana N 74–83 conf_tournament
2023-02-28 2023 Montana @ Idaho 68–53 regular
2023-02-26 2023 Sacramento State @ Montana 72–74 regular
2023-02-19 2023 Montana @ Montana State 68–72 regular
2023-02-12 2023 Montana @ Weber State 74–69 regular
2023-02-10 2023 Montana @ Idaho State 69–61 regular
2023-02-05 2023 Northern Arizona @ Montana 66–67 regular
2023-02-03 2023 Northern Colorado @ Montana 67–69 regular
2023-01-29 2023 Montana @ Portland State 73–67 regular
2023-01-27 2023 Montana @ Sacramento State 48–67 regular
2023-01-22 2023 Montana State @ Montana 67–64 regular
2023-01-17 2023 Montana @ Eastern Washington 57–64 regular
2023-01-15 2023 Idaho State @ Montana 55–84 regular
2023-01-13 2023 Weber State @ Montana 59–57 regular
2023-01-08 2023 Montana @ Northern Colorado 79–74 regular
2023-01-06 2023 Montana @ Northern Arizona 74–75 regular
2022-12-31 2023 Idaho @ Montana 56–67 regular
2022-12-30 2023 Eastern Washington @ Montana 87–80 regular
2022-12-21 2023 Montana @ Gonzaga 75–85 regular
2022-12-17 2023 Montana @ Prairie View A&M N 81–76 regular
2022-12-11 2023 Montana @ North Dakota State 82–75 regular
2022-12-07 2023 South Dakota State @ Montana 56–81 regular
2022-11-30 2023 Montana @ Southern Miss 54–64 regular
2022-11-27 2023 Montana @ Air Force 56–59 regular
2022-11-23 2023 Montana State-Northern @ Montana 51–63 non_d1
2022-11-20 2023 Troy @ Montana 73–62 regular
2022-11-19 2023 Merrimack @ Montana 51–62 regular
2022-11-18 2023 St. Thomas-Minnesota @ Montana N 59–78 regular
2022-11-12 2023 Montana @ Xavier 64–86 regular
2022-11-09 2023 Montana @ Duquesne 63–91 regular