cbb·system

Towson Tigers

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2018

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.86 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.99 points per possession 0.12
ME -0.13 points per possession 0.18
PACE 72.50 possessions per game 4.69

At season 2018's latest cutoff (2018-04-01 22:00), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Towson AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2018. Axis spans 0.72 to 1.25 over 123 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2018

SeasonWLPct
2018921 0.300

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbTowson auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2018-03-07 2018 Towson @ UNC Wilmington N 47–58 conf_tournament
2018-03-03 2018 Delaware @ Towson 81–55 regular
2018-03-02 2018 Towson @ UNC Wilmington 53–64 regular
2018-02-25 2018 Drexel @ Towson 62–54 regular
2018-02-18 2018 Towson @ Hofstra 72–83 regular
2018-02-17 2018 Towson @ Northeastern 61–79 regular
2018-02-11 2018 James Madison @ Towson 64–55 regular
2018-02-10 2018 Hofstra @ Towson 72–73 regular
2018-02-04 2018 William & Mary @ Towson 75–63 regular
2018-02-03 2018 Towson @ Drexel 53–78 regular
2018-01-28 2018 Elon @ Towson 71–45 regular
2018-01-21 2018 Towson @ Charleston 83–58 regular
2018-01-20 2018 Towson @ Elon 61–84 regular
2018-01-14 2018 Towson @ Delaware 49–51 regular
2018-01-13 2018 UNC Wilmington @ Towson 71–72 regular
2018-01-07 2018 Towson @ William & Mary 67–66 regular
2018-01-06 2018 Towson @ James Madison 45–69 regular
2017-12-31 2018 Charleston @ Towson 80–67 regular
2017-12-30 2018 Northeastern @ Towson 70–61 regular
2017-12-22 2018 Towson @ Radford N 66–69 regular
2017-12-21 2018 Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Towson N 44–70 regular
2017-12-12 2018 Towson @ Norfolk State 76–86 regular
2017-12-09 2018 Towson @ Loyola Maryland 76–67 regular
2017-12-06 2018 Saint Joseph's @ Towson 66–90 regular
2017-12-01 2018 Wagner @ Towson 42–64 regular
2017-11-26 2018 Colgate @ Towson 65–61 regular
2017-11-21 2018 UMBC @ Towson 64–95 regular
2017-11-19 2018 Towson @ Pittsburgh 63–81 regular
2017-11-17 2018 George Washington @ Towson 66–43 regular
2017-11-12 2018 Towson @ Massachusetts 49–72 regular