UCF Knights
womens
canonical name from espn_wbb
Ratings · 2018
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 0.96 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 0.79 | points per possession | 0.14 |
| ME | 0.17 | points per possession | 0.19 |
| PACE | 65.54 | possessions per game | 4.99 |
At season 2018's latest cutoff
(2018-04-01 22:00),
with 33 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2018.
Axis spans 0.66 to 1.21 over
123 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
25).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2018
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 22 | 11 | 0.667 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| espn_wbb | UCF | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-03-18 | 2018 | UCF @ Alabama | 61–80 | other_postseason |
| 2018-03-14 | 2018 | Jacksonville @ UCF | 60–65 | other_postseason |
| 2018-03-05 | 2018 | UCF @ South Florida N | 59–74 | conf_tournament |
| 2018-03-04 | 2018 | Temple @ UCF N | 70–77 | conf_tournament |
| 2018-02-27 | 2018 | East Carolina @ UCF | 54–75 | regular |
| 2018-02-24 | 2018 | UCF @ Houston | 64–59 | regular |
| 2018-02-22 | 2018 | UCF @ Memphis | 63–40 | regular |
| 2018-02-18 | 2018 | South Florida @ UCF | 77–68 | regular |
| 2018-02-10 | 2018 | UCF @ Temple | 64–57 | regular |
| 2018-02-08 | 2018 | UConn @ UCF | 55–37 | regular |
| 2018-02-03 | 2018 | Memphis @ UCF | 41–61 | regular |
| 2018-01-31 | 2018 | UCF @ Cincinnati | 50–38 | regular |
| 2018-01-27 | 2018 | UCF @ Tulsa | 47–44 | regular |
| 2018-01-20 | 2018 | SMU @ UCF | 43–58 | regular |
| 2018-01-18 | 2018 | Tulane @ UCF | 51–59 | regular |
| 2018-01-14 | 2018 | UCF @ South Florida | 45–62 | regular |
| 2018-01-10 | 2018 | UCF @ UConn | 44–80 | regular |
| 2018-01-06 | 2018 | Wichita State @ UCF | 53–59 | regular |
| 2018-01-04 | 2018 | UCF @ SMU | 60–42 | regular |
| 2017-12-30 | 2018 | Temple @ UCF | 46–76 | regular |
| 2017-12-28 | 2018 | Davidson @ UCF | 54–62 | regular |
| 2017-12-21 | 2018 | UCF @ Pacific | 74–78 | regular |
| 2017-12-18 | 2018 | UCF @ UC Davis | 62–55 | regular |
| 2017-12-14 | 2018 | UCF @ Boston University | 47–32 | regular |
| 2017-12-10 | 2018 | Georgia Southern @ UCF | 38–62 | regular |
| 2017-12-01 | 2018 | UCF @ Samford | 51–58 | regular |
| 2017-11-26 | 2018 | Northern Iowa @ UCF | 43–53 | regular |
| 2017-11-25 | 2018 | IU Indianapolis @ UCF | 59–63 | regular |
| 2017-11-22 | 2018 | Elon @ UCF | 71–57 | regular |
| 2017-11-19 | 2018 | UCF @ Virginia Tech | 69–86 | regular |
| 2017-11-18 | 2018 | UCF @ Gardner-Webb | 65–30 | regular |
| 2017-11-13 | 2018 | UCF @ Chattanooga | 58–57 | regular |
| 2017-11-10 | 2018 | Mercer @ UCF | 73–64 | regular |