UCF Knights
womens
canonical name from espn_wbb
Ratings · 2023
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 0.88 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 0.87 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | 0.01 | points per possession | 0.19 |
| PACE | 69.04 | possessions per game | 4.54 |
At season 2023's latest cutoff
(2023-04-02 19:30),
with 31 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023.
Axis spans 0.54 to 1.17 over
125 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
25).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2023
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 14 | 15 | 0.483 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| espn_wbb | UCF | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-03-08 | 2023 | UCF @ Memphis N | 46–48 | conf_tournament |
| 2023-03-06 | 2023 | UCF @ Tulsa N | 69–53 | conf_tournament |
| 2023-03-02 | 2023 | UCF @ Tulsa | 60–70 | regular |
| 2023-02-25 | 2023 | Cincinnati @ UCF | 54–64 | regular |
| 2023-02-21 | 2023 | Temple @ UCF | 53–57 | regular |
| 2023-02-18 | 2023 | UCF @ East Carolina | 57–63 | regular |
| 2023-02-16 | 2023 | South Florida @ UCF | 73–44 | regular |
| 2023-02-11 | 2023 | UCF @ Memphis | 48–50 | regular |
| 2023-02-09 | 2023 | UCF @ Cincinnati | 60–57 | regular |
| 2023-02-04 | 2023 | East Carolina @ UCF | 68–54 | regular |
| 2023-02-01 | 2023 | SMU @ UCF | canceled | regular |
| 2023-01-28 | 2023 | UCF @ Temple | 56–63 | regular |
| 2023-01-22 | 2023 | UCF @ South Florida | 51–83 | regular |
| 2023-01-17 | 2023 | Tulane @ UCF | 64–50 | regular |
| 2023-01-15 | 2023 | Wichita State @ UCF | 56–59 | regular |
| 2023-01-11 | 2023 | UCF @ Houston | 42–80 | regular |
| 2023-01-07 | 2023 | Tulsa @ UCF | 80–75 | regular |
| 2023-01-04 | 2023 | UCF @ SMU | 51–61 | regular |
| 2022-12-29 | 2023 | Texas Southern @ UCF | 67–92 | regular |
| 2022-12-21 | 2023 | Elon @ UCF | 46–64 | regular |
| 2022-12-20 | 2023 | Idaho State @ UCF | 50–67 | regular |
| 2022-12-14 | 2023 | UCF @ Tennessee | 64–99 | regular |
| 2022-12-11 | 2023 | Seton Hall @ UCF | 63–56 | regular |
| 2022-12-03 | 2023 | UCF @ Auburn | 46–86 | regular |
| 2022-12-01 | 2023 | Sam Houston @ UCF | 55–67 | regular |
| 2022-11-27 | 2023 | Southeast Missouri State @ UCF | 41–67 | regular |
| 2022-11-26 | 2023 | Samford @ UCF | 74–79 | regular |
| 2022-11-22 | 2023 | UL Monroe @ UCF | 54–78 | regular |
| 2022-11-16 | 2023 | UCF @ Campbell | 62–60 | regular |
| 2022-11-10 | 2023 | Mercer @ UCF | canceled | regular |
| 2022-11-07 | 2023 | Winthrop @ UCF | 32–72 | regular |