cbb·system

Little Rock Trojans

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2014

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.86 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.82 points per possession 0.12
ME 0.04 points per possession 0.17
PACE 60.37 possessions per game 5.21

At season 2014's latest cutoff (2014-04-09 00:30), with 34 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Little Rock AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2014. Axis spans 0.43 to 1.12 over 108 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2014

SeasonWLPct
20141812 0.600

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbLittle Rock auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2014-03-14 2014 Little Rock @ Western Kentucky N 62–66 conf_tournament
2014-03-13 2014 Troy @ Little Rock N 54–66 conf_tournament
2014-03-08 2014 UL Monroe @ Little Rock 62–72 regular
2014-03-06 2014 Georgia State @ Little Rock 58–64 regular
2014-03-05 2014 Georgia State @ Little Rock postponed regular
2014-03-01 2014 Arkansas State @ Little Rock 55–64 regular
2014-02-27 2014 Little Rock @ Troy 77–86 regular
2014-02-22 2014 UT Arlington @ Little Rock 60–69 regular
2014-02-15 2014 Little Rock @ UL Monroe 63–47 regular
2014-02-13 2014 Little Rock @ Louisiana 63–57 regular
2014-02-08 2014 Western Kentucky @ Little Rock 51–58 regular
2014-02-06 2014 Georgia State @ Little Rock postponed regular
2014-02-01 2014 Little Rock @ South Alabama 56–61 regular
2014-01-30 2014 Louisiana @ Little Rock 60–74 regular
2014-01-25 2014 Little Rock @ Arkansas State 45–77 regular
2014-01-23 2014 Texas State @ Little Rock 70–77 regular
2014-01-18 2014 Little Rock @ Georgia State 59–61 regular
2014-01-16 2014 Little Rock @ Western Kentucky 39–65 regular
2014-01-11 2014 Troy @ Little Rock 52–69 regular
2014-01-09 2014 South Alabama @ Little Rock 42–61 regular
2014-01-05 2014 Little Rock @ UT Arlington 64–57 regular
2014-01-02 2014 Little Rock @ Texas State 35–42 regular
2013-12-29 2014 South Dakota State @ Little Rock 45–66 regular
2013-12-21 2014 Little Rock @ Louisiana Tech 39–50 regular
2013-12-15 2014 LSU @ Little Rock 58–51 regular
2013-12-11 2014 Incarnate Word @ Little Rock 34–82 regular
2013-12-08 2014 Little Rock @ Tulsa postponed regular
2013-12-07 2014 Little Rock @ Tulsa postponed regular
2013-12-05 2014 Little Rock @ Texas 26–60 regular
2013-11-30 2014 Little Rock @ Oral Roberts 53–51 regular
2013-11-23 2014 Memphis @ Little Rock 63–68 regular
2013-11-20 2014 Little Rock @ Southern Miss 60–72 regular
2013-11-14 2014 Little Rock @ Missouri State 68–72 regular
2013-11-10 2014 Sam Houston @ Little Rock 65–69 regular