cbb·system

Little Rock Trojans

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2020

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.85 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.92 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.07 points per possession 0.19
PACE 64.06 possessions per game 4.88

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-12 18:00), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Little Rock AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020. Axis spans 0.56 to 1.14 over 107 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

SeasonWLPct
20201219 0.387

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbLittle Rock auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2020-03-12 2020 Little Rock @ Louisiana 46–49 conf_tournament
2020-03-10 2020 App State @ Little Rock N 47–48 conf_tournament
2020-03-07 2020 South Alabama @ Little Rock 57–42 regular
2020-03-06 2020 Troy @ Little Rock 70–54 regular
2020-02-29 2020 Little Rock @ Arkansas State 54–72 regular
2020-02-22 2020 Little Rock @ South Alabama 69–58 regular
2020-02-21 2020 Little Rock @ Troy 59–77 regular
2020-02-15 2020 UT Arlington @ Little Rock 62–46 regular
2020-02-13 2020 Texas State @ Little Rock 50–47 regular
2020-02-08 2020 Little Rock @ Georgia State 43–58 regular
2020-02-06 2020 Little Rock @ Georgia Southern 65–49 regular
2020-02-01 2020 Little Rock @ Louisiana 59–44 regular
2020-01-25 2020 App State @ Little Rock 63–68 regular
2020-01-24 2020 Little Rock @ UL Monroe 70–50 regular
2020-01-18 2020 Arkansas State @ Little Rock 58–67 regular
2020-01-16 2020 Coastal Carolina @ Little Rock 68–48 regular
2020-01-11 2020 Georgia State @ Little Rock 46–66 regular
2020-01-10 2020 Georgia Southern @ Little Rock 46–58 regular
2020-01-04 2020 Little Rock @ UT Arlington 58–65 regular
2020-01-03 2020 Little Rock @ Texas State 78–66 regular
2019-12-29 2020 Little Rock @ Mississippi State 50–89 regular
2019-12-21 2020 Little Rock @ Arkansas N 53–86 regular
2019-12-18 2020 Memphis @ Little Rock 68–50 regular
2019-12-07 2020 Tulsa @ Little Rock 51–63 regular
2019-12-03 2020 Louisiana Tech @ Little Rock 43–38 regular
2019-11-24 2020 Little Rock @ Western Kentucky 58–77 regular
2019-11-22 2020 Little Rock @ Florida Atlantic 72–79 regular
2019-11-16 2020 Central Arkansas @ Little Rock 48–63 regular
2019-11-14 2020 LSU @ Little Rock 65–50 regular
2019-11-09 2020 Little Rock @ Rice 40–66 regular
2019-11-06 2020 Little Rock @ Texas A&M 35–78 regular