cbb·system

Little Rock Trojans

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Round of 64 (out) 2019

Ratings · 2019

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.91 points per possession 0.14
DE 0.86 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.05 points per possession 0.19
PACE 62.60 possessions per game 5.17

At season 2019's latest cutoff (2019-04-07 22:00), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Little Rock AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2019. Axis spans 51.71 to 75.69 over 130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2019

SeasonWLPct
20192111 0.656

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbLittle Rock auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2019-03-23 2019 Little Rock @ Gonzaga N 51–68 ncaa_tournament
2019-03-16 2019 South Alabama @ Little Rock N 56–57 conf_tournament
2019-03-15 2019 App State @ Little Rock N 64–80 conf_tournament
2019-03-09 2019 Little Rock @ UL Monroe 57–38 regular
2019-03-08 2019 Little Rock @ Louisiana 62–49 regular
2019-03-02 2019 Georgia State @ Little Rock 50–82 regular
2019-02-28 2019 Georgia Southern @ Little Rock 51–80 regular
2019-02-23 2019 Little Rock @ Arkansas State 58–62 regular
2019-02-16 2019 Little Rock @ Texas State 48–50 regular
2019-02-15 2019 Little Rock @ UT Arlington 62–61 regular
2019-02-09 2019 South Alabama @ Little Rock 44–47 regular
2019-02-08 2019 Troy @ Little Rock 72–76 regular
2019-02-02 2019 Arkansas State @ Little Rock 55–68 regular
2019-01-26 2019 Little Rock @ App State 74–59 regular
2019-01-24 2019 Little Rock @ Coastal Carolina 60–47 regular
2019-01-19 2019 UT Arlington @ Little Rock 65–68 regular
2019-01-18 2019 Texas State @ Little Rock 47–62 regular
2019-01-12 2019 Little Rock @ South Alabama 65–42 regular
2019-01-11 2019 Little Rock @ Troy 66–71 regular
2019-01-05 2019 Louisiana @ Little Rock 48–62 regular
2019-01-04 2019 UL Monroe @ Little Rock 44–63 regular
2018-12-30 2019 Little Rock @ Missouri State 44–48 regular
2018-12-21 2019 Little Rock @ Memphis 63–60 regular
2018-12-18 2019 Little Rock @ Tulsa 63–53 regular
2018-12-08 2019 Kansas State @ Little Rock 53–47 regular
2018-12-01 2019 Western Kentucky @ Little Rock 68–56 regular
2018-11-29 2019 Mississippi State @ Little Rock 98–63 regular
2018-11-25 2019 Little Rock @ LSU 45–60 regular
2018-11-21 2019 Texas A&M @ Little Rock 61–40 regular
2018-11-17 2019 Rice @ Little Rock 79–65 regular
2018-11-15 2019 Florida Atlantic @ Little Rock 38–61 regular
2018-11-09 2019 Little Rock @ Louisiana Tech 69–58 regular