cbb·system

Bowling Green Falcons

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2019

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.93 points per possession 0.14
DE 0.97 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.04 points per possession 0.19
PACE 71.95 possessions per game 4.69

At season 2019's latest cutoff (2019-04-07 22:00), with 29 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Bowling Green AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2019. Axis spans -0.29 to 1.74 over 130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2019

SeasonWLPct
2019921 0.300

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbBowling Green auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2019-03-11 2019 Bowling Green @ Kent State 62–86 conf_tournament
2019-03-09 2019 Bowling Green @ Ohio 68–76 regular
2019-03-07 2019 Bowling Green @ Buffalo 61–75 regular
2019-03-02 2019 Kent State @ Bowling Green 49–62 regular
2019-02-28 2019 Akron @ Bowling Green 83–73 regular
2019-02-23 2019 Bowling Green @ Miami (OH) 62–75 regular
2019-02-21 2019 Central Michigan @ Bowling Green 92–54 regular
2019-02-16 2019 Bowling Green @ Kent State 73–77 regular
2019-02-14 2019 Buffalo @ Bowling Green 72–78 regular
2019-02-09 2019 Miami (OH) @ Bowling Green 82–75 regular
2019-02-07 2019 Bowling Green @ Northern Illinois 47–88 regular
2019-02-02 2019 Bowling Green @ Toledo 56–76 regular
2019-01-26 2019 Ohio @ Bowling Green 82–79 regular
2019-01-24 2019 Bowling Green @ Eastern Michigan 74–81 regular
2019-01-19 2019 Toledo @ Bowling Green 79–65 regular
2019-01-17 2019 Northern Illinois @ Bowling Green 66–52 regular
2019-01-12 2019 Bowling Green @ Akron 71–74 regular
2019-01-09 2019 Bowling Green @ Ball State 70–77 regular
2019-01-05 2019 Western Michigan @ Bowling Green 84–82 regular
2018-12-30 2019 Davis & Elkins @ Bowling Green 28–63 non_d1
2018-12-21 2019 Bowling Green @ Valparaiso 79–72 regular
2018-12-18 2019 Detroit Mercy @ Bowling Green 73–79 regular
2018-12-08 2019 Bowling Green @ Canisius 74–53 regular
2018-11-29 2019 Bowling Green @ Xavier 49–65 regular
2018-11-25 2019 Mercer @ Bowling Green N 76–63 regular
2018-11-23 2019 Bowling Green @ Coastal Carolina 80–81 regular
2018-11-20 2019 Loyola Chicago @ Bowling Green 74–88 regular
2018-11-17 2019 Robert Morris @ Bowling Green 60–61 regular
2018-11-14 2019 Marshall @ Bowling Green 76–99 regular
2018-11-07 2019 Bowling Green @ Michigan State 69–99 regular