cbb·system

Bowling Green Falcons

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2014

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.01 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.86 points per possession 0.12
ME 0.15 points per possession 0.17
PACE 63.68 possessions per game 5.15

At season 2014's latest cutoff (2014-04-09 00:30), with 36 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Bowling Green AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2014. Axis spans 0.74 to 1.27 over 114 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2014

SeasonWLPct
2014305 0.857

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbBowling Green auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2014-03-31 2014 Rutgers @ Bowling Green 55–50 other_postseason
2014-03-27 2014 Michigan @ Bowling Green 53–63 other_postseason
2014-03-24 2014 St. Bonaventure @ Bowling Green 65–76 other_postseason
2014-03-20 2014 High Point @ Bowling Green 62–72 other_postseason
2014-03-14 2014 Ball State @ Bowling Green N 73–55 conf_tournament
2014-03-08 2014 Bowling Green @ Akron 77–76 regular
2014-03-05 2014 Bowling Green @ Miami (OH) 73–56 regular
2014-03-02 2014 Ohio @ Bowling Green 39–63 regular
2014-02-28 2014 Kent State @ Bowling Green 38–82 regular
2014-02-22 2014 Bowling Green @ Buffalo 73–63 regular
2014-02-20 2014 Central Michigan @ Bowling Green 55–67 regular
2014-02-15 2014 Bowling Green @ Eastern Michigan 61–56 regular
2014-02-09 2014 Miami (OH) @ Bowling Green 45–91 regular
2014-02-06 2014 Western Michigan @ Bowling Green 50–72 regular
2014-02-02 2014 Bowling Green @ Toledo 66–59 regular
2014-01-31 2014 Bowling Green @ Ohio 78–62 regular
2014-01-26 2014 Northern Illinois @ Bowling Green 44–57 regular
2014-01-24 2014 Eastern Michigan @ Bowling Green 57–71 regular
2014-01-18 2014 Bowling Green @ Central Michigan 79–82 regular
2014-01-16 2014 Bowling Green @ Ball State 72–61 regular
2014-01-12 2014 Akron @ Bowling Green 65–81 regular
2014-01-10 2014 Bowling Green @ Kent State 58–39 regular
2014-01-04 2014 Buffalo @ Bowling Green 50–62 regular
2013-12-29 2014 Saint Francis @ Bowling Green 66–81 regular
2013-12-22 2014 Bowling Green @ Purdue 48–57 regular
2013-12-19 2014 Massachusetts @ Bowling Green 46–86 regular
2013-12-15 2014 Massachusetts @ Bowling Green postponed regular
2013-12-08 2014 Milwaukee @ Bowling Green 64–87 regular
2013-12-01 2014 Monmouth @ Bowling Green N 48–71 regular
2013-11-24 2014 Bowling Green @ Ohio State 64–52 regular
2013-11-23 2014 Old Dominion @ Bowling Green N 58–77 regular
2013-11-22 2014 Bowling Green @ Marist N 60–74 regular
2013-11-19 2014 Bowling Green @ Butler 61–57 regular
2013-11-15 2014 Niagara @ Bowling Green 58–90 regular
2013-11-09 2014 Bowling Green @ Iona 51–50 regular
2013-11-08 2014 Bowling Green @ Michigan N 63–52 regular