cbb·system

Bowling Green Falcons

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.03 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.85 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.18 points per possession 0.18
PACE 72.25 possessions per game 4.35

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-02 19:30), with 37 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Bowling Green AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 0.76 to 1.36 over 125 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
2023317 0.816

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbBowling Green auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-29 2023 Columbia @ Bowling Green 77–70 other_postseason
2023-03-27 2023 Florida @ Bowling Green 52–69 other_postseason
2023-03-23 2023 Memphis @ Bowling Green 60–73 other_postseason
2023-03-21 2023 Bowling Green @ Green Bay 69–51 other_postseason
2023-03-16 2023 Liberty @ Bowling Green 80–87 other_postseason
2023-03-11 2023 Bowling Green @ Toledo N 58–73 conf_tournament
2023-03-10 2023 Ball State @ Bowling Green N 61–70 conf_tournament
2023-03-08 2023 Eastern Michigan @ Bowling Green N 36–70 conf_tournament
2023-03-04 2023 Bowling Green @ Toledo 56–62 regular
2023-03-01 2023 Ball State @ Bowling Green 76–81 regular
2023-02-25 2023 Buffalo @ Bowling Green 84–66 regular
2023-02-22 2023 Bowling Green @ Central Michigan 80–72 regular
2023-02-18 2023 Bowling Green @ Western Michigan 65–53 regular
2023-02-16 2023 Northern Illinois @ Bowling Green 85–81 regular
2023-02-11 2023 Bowling Green @ Kent State 75–69 regular
2023-02-09 2023 Bowling Green @ Ohio 81–44 regular
2023-02-04 2023 Miami (OH) @ Bowling Green 59–88 regular
2023-02-02 2023 Western Michigan @ Bowling Green 56–74 regular
2023-01-28 2023 Bowling Green @ Northern Illinois 66–50 regular
2023-01-25 2023 Bowling Green @ Buffalo 64–61 regular
2023-01-21 2023 Kent State @ Bowling Green 57–66 regular
2023-01-19 2023 Toledo @ Bowling Green 76–88 regular
2023-01-14 2023 Bowling Green @ Akron 71–66 regular
2023-01-12 2023 Central Michigan @ Bowling Green 68–101 regular
2023-01-07 2023 Eastern Michigan @ Bowling Green 63–79 regular
2023-01-04 2023 Bowling Green @ Ball State 73–81 regular
2022-12-30 2023 Findlay @ Bowling Green 51–92 non_d1
2022-12-21 2023 Bowling Green @ UT Rio Grande Valley N 71–47 regular
2022-12-19 2023 East Texas A&M @ Bowling Green N 61–90 regular
2022-12-15 2023 Bowling Green @ IU Indianapolis 84–70 regular
2022-12-11 2023 Bowling Green @ East Tennessee State 82–64 regular
2022-12-03 2023 Bowling Green @ Valparaiso 92–61 regular
2022-11-29 2023 Detroit Mercy @ Bowling Green 29–76 regular
2022-11-23 2023 Northern Kentucky @ Bowling Green 68–76 regular
2022-11-19 2023 Bowling Green @ Southern Indiana 100–74 regular
2022-11-18 2023 Bowling Green @ Indiana 61–96 regular
2022-11-15 2023 Wright State @ Bowling Green 72–102 regular
2022-11-07 2023 Bowling Green @ St. Bonaventure 77–61 regular