cbb·system

Bowling Green Falcons

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2025

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.01 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.01 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.00 points per possession 0.19
PACE 67.90 possessions per game 4.85

At season 2025's latest cutoff (2025-04-06 19:00), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Bowling Green AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025. Axis spans 0.63 to 1.31 over 130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2025

SeasonWLPct
20251813 0.581

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbBowling Green auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2025-03-12 2025 Bowling Green @ Buffalo N 63–65 conf_tournament
2025-03-08 2025 Bowling Green @ Eastern Michigan 87–67 regular
2025-03-06 2025 Kent State @ Bowling Green 61–84 regular
2025-03-01 2025 Bowling Green @ Northern Illinois 77–84 regular
2025-02-27 2025 Ohio @ Bowling Green 61–91 regular
2025-02-23 2025 Toledo @ Bowling Green 72–81 regular
2025-02-20 2025 Bowling Green @ Western Michigan 70–63 regular
2025-02-15 2025 Central Michigan @ Bowling Green 55–70 regular
2025-02-08 2025 Bowling Green @ Arkansas State 75–73 regular
2025-02-05 2025 Bowling Green @ Ball State 51–71 regular
2025-02-01 2025 Bowling Green @ Central Michigan 76–69 regular
2025-01-30 2025 Akron @ Bowling Green 69–82 regular
2025-01-25 2025 Bowling Green @ Toledo 68–80 regular
2025-01-23 2025 Western Michigan @ Bowling Green 63–60 regular
2025-01-19 2025 Northern Illinois @ Bowling Green 60–74 regular
2025-01-16 2025 Bowling Green @ Ohio 74–53 regular
2025-01-11 2025 Bowling Green @ Miami (OH) 63–78 regular
2025-01-09 2025 Buffalo @ Bowling Green 70–60 regular
2025-01-05 2025 Eastern Michigan @ Bowling Green 76–90 regular
2025-01-01 2025 Bowling Green @ Kent State 71–81 regular
2024-12-21 2025 Bowling Green @ Duquesne 59–67 regular
2024-12-19 2025 Marquette @ Bowling Green 62–64 regular
2024-12-08 2025 Xavier @ Bowling Green 59–78 regular
2024-11-30 2025 Bowling Green @ Arkansas N 79–78 regular
2024-11-29 2025 Stetson @ Bowling Green N 43–79 regular
2024-11-24 2025 Bowling Green @ Ohio State 53–96 regular
2024-11-20 2025 Bowling Green @ West Virginia 47–78 regular
2024-11-16 2025 St. Bonaventure @ Bowling Green 41–92 regular
2024-11-13 2025 Bowling Green @ Cleveland State 68–75 regular
2024-11-09 2025 Bowling Green @ Detroit Mercy 66–73 regular
2024-11-05 2025 Southern Miss @ Bowling Green 67–71 regular