cbb·system

Bowling Green Falcons

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2020

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.96 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.97 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.01 points per possession 0.19
PACE 70.95 possessions per game 4.42

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-12 18:00), with 29 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Bowling Green AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020. Axis spans 61.15 to 165.68 over 107 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

SeasonWLPct
20201021 0.323

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbBowling Green auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2020-03-09 2020 Bowling Green @ Western Michigan 67–84 conf_tournament
2020-03-07 2020 Bowling Green @ Akron 61–70 regular
2020-03-05 2020 Bowling Green @ Miami (OH) 82–69 regular
2020-02-29 2020 Kent State @ Bowling Green 96–86 regular
2020-02-27 2020 Ohio @ Bowling Green 68–82 regular
2020-02-22 2020 Buffalo @ Bowling Green 62–56 regular
2020-02-20 2020 Bowling Green @ Western Michigan 55–69 regular
2020-02-15 2020 Bowling Green @ Central Michigan 75–82 regular
2020-02-13 2020 Eastern Michigan @ Bowling Green 70–58 regular
2020-02-08 2020 Northern Illinois @ Bowling Green 92–87 regular
2020-02-06 2020 Bowling Green @ Kent State 47–61 regular
2020-02-01 2020 Miami (OH) @ Bowling Green 80–59 regular
2020-01-25 2020 Bowling Green @ Ohio 69–79 regular
2020-01-23 2020 Western Michigan @ Bowling Green 63–72 regular
2020-01-18 2020 Bowling Green @ Toledo 72–79 regular
2020-01-16 2020 Bowling Green @ Buffalo 59–65 regular
2020-01-11 2020 Akron @ Bowling Green 76–73 regular
2020-01-09 2020 Ball State @ Bowling Green 86–80 regular
2020-01-04 2020 Bowling Green @ Eastern Michigan 61–78 regular
2019-12-30 2020 Davis & Elkins @ Bowling Green 52–91 non_d1
2019-12-21 2020 Bowling Green @ Purdue 74–81 regular
2019-12-16 2020 Bowling Green @ Loyola Chicago 76–84 regular
2019-12-14 2020 Bowling Green @ Milwaukee 63–51 regular
2019-12-07 2020 Bowling Green @ Marshall 82–69 regular
2019-11-30 2020 California Baptist @ Bowling Green N 60–98 regular
2019-11-29 2020 San Francisco @ Bowling Green N 64–56 regular
2019-11-28 2020 Bowling Green @ Green Bay N 54–73 regular
2019-11-24 2020 Bowling Green @ Valparaiso 90–95 regular
2019-11-18 2020 Notre Dame College (OH) @ Bowling Green 54–88 non_d1
2019-11-09 2020 Morehead State @ Bowling Green 65–79 regular
2019-11-06 2020 Cleveland State @ Bowling Green 62–89 regular