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Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.97 points per possession 0.14
DE 1.11 points per possession 0.12
ME -0.14 points per possession 0.18
PACE 68.18 possessions per game 4.30

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-04 01:20), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

UIC AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 0.75 to 1.36 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20231220 0.375

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdUIC auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-03 2023 UIC @ Missouri State N 57–74 conf_tournament
2023-02-26 2023 Southern Illinois @ UIC 68–65 regular
2023-02-23 2023 UIC @ Evansville 82–76 regular
2023-02-19 2023 Valparaiso @ UIC 73–74 regular
2023-02-16 2023 Indiana State @ UIC 79–60 regular
2023-02-11 2023 UIC @ Belmont 71–98 regular
2023-02-09 2023 UIC @ Southern Illinois 66–68 regular
2023-02-04 2023 Evansville @ UIC 61–70 regular
2023-02-02 2023 UIC @ Illinois State 62–68 regular
2023-01-29 2023 Bradley @ UIC 83–76 regular
2023-01-25 2023 UIC @ Missouri State 59–63 regular
2023-01-21 2023 Northern Iowa @ UIC 78–72 regular
2023-01-18 2023 UIC @ Valparaiso 66–76 regular
2023-01-14 2023 UIC @ Murray State 64–81 regular
2023-01-11 2023 Drake @ UIC 76–71 regular
2023-01-07 2023 UIC @ Indiana State 60–80 regular
2023-01-05 2023 Belmont @ UIC 77–71 regular
2022-12-31 2023 UIC @ Bradley 45–79 regular
2022-12-29 2023 Illinois State @ UIC 51–55 regular
2022-12-21 2023 UIC @ Northwestern 54–92 regular
2022-12-18 2023 Northeastern @ UIC 73–81 regular
2022-12-14 2023 Prairie View A&M @ UIC 61–70 regular
2022-12-10 2023 UIC @ Western Michigan 62–56 regular
2022-12-03 2023 UIC @ Drake 64–77 regular
2022-12-01 2023 Missouri State @ UIC 66–51 regular
2022-11-27 2023 UIC @ Green Bay 78–64 regular
2022-11-22 2023 Holy Cross @ UIC N 66–89 regular
2022-11-21 2023 UIC @ Stonehill N 77–71 regular
2022-11-19 2023 UIC @ Fordham 65–79 regular
2022-11-15 2023 Jacksonville State @ UIC 60–67 regular
2022-11-12 2023 Loyola Chicago @ UIC 70–63 regular
2022-11-08 2023 Trinity Christian (IL) @ UIC 48–82 non_d1