cbb·system

Alabama State Hornets

mens SWAC canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.93 points per possession 0.14
DE 1.12 points per possession 0.12
ME -0.19 points per possession 0.19
PACE 65.23 possessions per game 4.38

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-04 01:20), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Alabama State AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 0.63 to 1.23 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
2023823 0.258

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdAlabama State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-04 2023 Alabama State @ Grambling 49–69 regular
2023-03-03 2023 Alabama State @ Southern 52–66 regular
2023-02-26 2023 Alabama A&M @ Alabama State 55–50 regular
2023-02-21 2023 Bethune-Cookman @ Alabama State 70–65 regular
2023-02-18 2023 Florida A&M @ Alabama State 60–54 regular
2023-02-14 2023 Alabama State @ Mississippi Valley State 70–76 regular
2023-02-11 2023 Alabama State @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff 74–71 regular
2023-02-07 2023 Southern @ Alabama State 66–73 regular
2023-02-04 2023 Grambling @ Alabama State 73–60 regular
2023-01-31 2023 Alabama State @ Florida A&M 58–69 regular
2023-01-28 2023 Alabama State @ Bethune-Cookman 62–64 regular
2023-01-24 2023 Texas Southern @ Alabama State 71–65 regular
2023-01-22 2023 Prairie View A&M @ Alabama State 55–56 regular
2023-01-16 2023 Alabama State @ Alabama A&M 69–61 regular
2023-01-09 2023 Alabama State @ Alcorn State 76–92 regular
2023-01-07 2023 Alabama State @ Jackson State 58–61 regular
2023-01-05 2023 Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Alabama State 66–80 regular
2023-01-02 2023 Mississippi Valley State @ Alabama State 61–70 regular
2022-12-29 2023 Lane College @ Alabama State 78–90 non_d1
2022-12-22 2023 Alabama State @ Memphis 61–83 regular
2022-12-20 2023 Alabama State @ Arkansas State 65–72 regular
2022-12-17 2023 Alabama State @ Georgia Tech 60–96 regular
2022-12-08 2023 Alabama State @ North Alabama 63–71 regular
2022-11-27 2023 Alabama State @ Ohio 58–72 regular
2022-11-26 2023 Alabama State @ Eastern Illinois N 67–58 regular
2022-11-24 2023 Alabama State @ Duquesne 57–75 regular
2022-11-20 2023 Alabama State @ Pittsburgh 54–73 regular
2022-11-19 2023 Carver College @ Alabama State canceled non_d1
2022-11-16 2023 Alabama State @ San José State 57–70 regular
2022-11-13 2023 Alabama State @ Pepperdine 62–91 regular
2022-11-11 2023 Alabama State @ USC 58–96 regular
2022-11-08 2023 Alabama State @ UAB 70–111 regular