cbb·system

UC Davis Aggies

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2015

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.98 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.96 points per possession 0.12
ME 0.02 points per possession 0.17
PACE 67.15 possessions per game 4.68

At season 2015's latest cutoff (2015-03-10 01:00), with 27 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up show · hidden

UC Davis AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffs
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2015. Axis spans 0.71 to 1.23 over 37 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The warm-up stretch is hidden — the toggle above brings it back. This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2015

SeasonWLPct
20151516 0.484

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbUC Davis auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2015-03-13 2015 UC Davis @ Cal State Northridge N 47–61 conf_tournament
2015-03-12 2015 UC Davis @ Long Beach State N 70–67 conf_tournament
2015-03-11 2015 UC Irvine @ UC Davis N 71–80 conf_tournament
2015-03-07 2015 UC Davis @ UC Irvine 62–71 regular
2015-03-06 2015 UC Davis @ UC Riverside 56–61 regular
2015-02-28 2015 UC Santa Barbara @ UC Davis 57–52 regular
2015-02-27 2015 Cal Poly @ UC Davis 68–52 regular
2015-02-22 2015 UC Davis @ Hawai'i 60–62 regular
2015-02-20 2015 Long Beach State @ UC Davis 66–83 regular
2015-02-13 2015 UC Davis @ Cal State Fullerton 74–67 regular
2015-02-07 2015 UC Irvine @ UC Davis 69–79 regular
2015-02-06 2015 Cal State Northridge @ UC Davis 67–73 regular
2015-01-31 2015 UC Davis @ UC Santa Barbara 60–54 regular
2015-01-30 2015 UC Davis @ Cal Poly 64–72 regular
2015-01-23 2015 Hawai'i @ UC Davis 58–53 regular
2015-01-17 2015 Cal State Fullerton @ UC Davis 59–64 regular
2015-01-16 2015 UC Riverside @ UC Davis 61–70 regular
2015-01-10 2015 UC Davis @ Long Beach State 60–63 regular
2015-01-09 2015 UC Davis @ Cal State Northridge 60–49 regular
2015-01-04 2015 Menlo @ UC Davis 56–77 non_d1
2014-12-22 2015 UC Davis @ Stanford 59–71 regular
2014-12-13 2015 UC Davis @ Arizona State 51–72 regular
2014-12-11 2015 UC Davis @ San José State 75–89 regular
2014-12-06 2015 Southern Utah @ UC Davis N 53–76 regular
2014-12-05 2015 UC Davis @ Santa Clara N 76–79 regular
2014-12-03 2015 San Francisco @ UC Davis 73–70 regular
2014-11-30 2015 Pacific @ UC Davis 53–60 regular
2014-11-27 2015 Utah Valley @ UC Davis 49–59 regular
2014-11-22 2015 Saint Mary's @ UC Davis 57–55 regular
2014-11-19 2015 UC Davis @ Sacramento State 90–82 regular
2014-11-15 2015 UConn @ UC Davis 102–43 regular