cbb·system

UC Davis Aggies

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2018

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.04 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.91 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.13 points per possession 0.18
PACE 67.35 possessions per game 4.97

At season 2018's latest cutoff (2018-04-01 22:00), with 35 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

UC Davis AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2018. Axis spans 0.56 to 1.17 over 123 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2018

SeasonWLPct
2018287 0.800

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbUC Davis auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2018-03-25 2018 UC Davis @ Indiana 66–81 other_postseason
2018-03-24 2018 UC Davis @ Kansas State 71–69 other_postseason
2018-03-18 2018 UC Davis @ Wyoming 74–64 other_postseason
2018-03-16 2018 Idaho @ UC Davis 62–82 other_postseason
2018-03-11 2018 Cal State Northridge @ UC Davis N 63–55 conf_tournament
2018-03-09 2018 UC Riverside @ UC Davis N 46–49 conf_tournament
2018-03-04 2018 UC Davis @ UC Riverside 62–76 regular
2018-03-02 2018 UC Davis @ Cal State Fullerton 67–55 regular
2018-02-24 2018 UC Irvine @ UC Davis 56–66 regular
2018-02-18 2018 UC Davis @ Hawai'i 68–56 regular
2018-02-16 2018 Long Beach State @ UC Davis 49–79 regular
2018-02-10 2018 Cal State Northridge @ UC Davis 46–72 regular
2018-02-08 2018 Cal Poly @ UC Davis 77–85 regular
2018-02-04 2018 UC Davis @ Cal State Northridge 71–75 regular
2018-02-02 2018 UC Davis @ Long Beach State 83–71 regular
2018-01-27 2018 UC Santa Barbara @ UC Davis 63–69 regular
2018-01-25 2018 Cal State Fullerton @ UC Davis 53–67 regular
2018-01-20 2018 UC Davis @ Cal Poly 80–76 regular
2018-01-19 2018 UC Davis @ UC Santa Barbara 68–61 regular
2018-01-12 2018 UC Riverside @ UC Davis 63–74 regular
2018-01-06 2018 Hawai'i @ UC Davis 52–76 regular
2018-01-05 2018 UC Davis @ UC Irvine 76–67 regular
2017-12-29 2018 UC Davis @ Fordham 62–70 regular
2017-12-28 2018 UC Davis @ Yale N 71–61 regular
2017-12-21 2018 UC Davis @ Oregon State 47–61 regular
2017-12-18 2018 UCF @ UC Davis 62–55 regular
2017-12-09 2018 UC Davis @ Saint Mary's 74–50 regular
2017-12-07 2018 San Francisco @ UC Davis 55–72 regular
2017-12-01 2018 Sacramento State @ UC Davis 72–79 regular
2017-11-26 2018 UC Davis @ Seattle U 79–53 regular
2017-11-24 2018 UC Davis @ Southern Utah 85–59 regular
2017-11-21 2018 UC Davis @ Pacific 90–58 regular
2017-11-18 2018 Portland State @ UC Davis 67–79 regular
2017-11-12 2018 Pepperdine @ UC Davis 64–69 regular
2017-11-11 2018 Washington State @ UC Davis 76–91 regular