cbb·system

UC Davis Aggies

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Round of 64 (out) 2019

Ratings · 2019

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.02 points per possession 0.14
DE 0.89 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.13 points per possession 0.19
PACE 66.87 possessions per game 4.93

At season 2019's latest cutoff (2019-04-07 22:00), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

UC Davis AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2019. Axis spans -0.05 to 1.63 over 130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2019

SeasonWLPct
2019257 0.781

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbUC Davis auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2019-03-23 2019 UC Davis @ Stanford 54–79 ncaa_tournament
2019-03-16 2019 Hawai'i @ UC Davis N 50–58 conf_tournament
2019-03-15 2019 UC Irvine @ UC Davis N 50–82 conf_tournament
2019-03-09 2019 UC Santa Barbara @ UC Davis 44–80 regular
2019-03-07 2019 Cal Poly @ UC Davis 54–87 regular
2019-03-02 2019 UC Davis @ UC Irvine 63–44 regular
2019-03-01 2019 UC Davis @ Long Beach State 66–49 regular
2019-02-23 2019 Hawai'i @ UC Davis 46–72 regular
2019-02-15 2019 UC Riverside @ UC Davis 59–72 regular
2019-02-09 2019 UC Davis @ Cal Poly 85–61 regular
2019-02-08 2019 UC Davis @ UC Santa Barbara 70–44 regular
2019-02-02 2019 Cal State Northridge @ UC Davis 54–70 regular
2019-02-01 2019 Long Beach State @ UC Davis 50–70 regular
2019-01-26 2019 UC Davis @ Cal State Fullerton 75–39 regular
2019-01-25 2019 UC Davis @ Cal State Northridge 60–49 regular
2019-01-19 2019 UC Irvine @ UC Davis 57–80 regular
2019-01-18 2019 Cal State Fullerton @ UC Davis 51–75 regular
2019-01-12 2019 UC Davis @ Hawai'i 60–65 regular
2019-01-05 2019 UC Davis @ UC Riverside 67–59 regular
2018-12-29 2019 Dominican (CA) @ UC Davis 42–92 non_d1
2018-12-18 2019 Saint Mary's @ UC Davis 74–76 regular
2018-12-15 2019 UC Davis @ San Francisco 70–68 regular
2018-12-09 2019 Seattle U @ UC Davis 59–76 regular
2018-12-08 2019 UC Davis @ Sacramento State 109–60 regular
2018-12-02 2019 UC Davis @ Montana 56–62 regular
2018-12-01 2019 UC Davis @ Nevada N 84–68 regular
2018-11-27 2019 UC Davis @ Loyola Marymount 53–60 regular
2018-11-24 2019 Southern Utah @ UC Davis 45–68 regular
2018-11-18 2019 UC Davis @ Washington State 75–62 regular
2018-11-17 2019 UC Davis @ Portland State 50–65 regular
2018-11-11 2019 Pacific @ UC Davis 83–80 regular
2018-11-08 2019 UC Davis @ Stanford 43–71 regular