cbb·system

UC Davis Aggies

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2022

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.94 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.89 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.05 points per possession 0.18
PACE 66.05 possessions per game 4.49

At season 2022's latest cutoff (2022-04-04 00:00), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

UC Davis AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2022. Axis spans -0.51 to 0.49 over 124 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2022

SeasonWLPct
20221513 0.536

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbUC Davis auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2022-03-11 2022 UC Davis @ UC Irvine N 75–84 conf_tournament
2022-03-10 2022 UC Davis @ Long Beach State N 55–45 conf_tournament
2022-03-05 2022 Cal State Fullerton @ UC Davis 42–70 regular
2022-03-04 2022 Long Beach State @ UC Davis 65–60 regular
2022-02-26 2022 UC Davis @ UC Santa Barbara 62–65 regular
2022-02-25 2022 UC Davis @ Cal State Northridge 58–50 regular
2022-02-19 2022 UC Davis @ Cal State Bakersfield 75–84 regular
2022-02-18 2022 UC Davis @ Cal Poly 85–55 regular
2022-02-12 2022 UC Irvine @ UC Davis 51–66 regular
2022-02-11 2022 UC San Diego @ UC Davis 42–51 regular
2022-02-04 2022 UC Davis @ Hawai'i 50–57 regular
2022-02-02 2022 UC Riverside @ UC Davis 61–59 regular
2022-01-29 2022 UC Davis @ Long Beach State 68–58 regular
2022-01-28 2022 UC Davis @ Cal State Fullerton 65–69 regular
2022-01-22 2022 Cal State Northridge @ UC Davis 41–48 regular
2022-01-21 2022 UC Santa Barbara @ UC Davis 49–61 regular
2022-01-15 2022 Cal Poly @ UC Davis canceled regular
2022-01-14 2022 Cal State Bakersfield @ UC Davis canceled regular
2022-01-09 2022 UC Davis @ UC San Diego 56–59 regular
2022-01-07 2022 UC Davis @ UC Irvine 59–76 regular
2022-01-01 2022 Hawai'i @ UC Davis canceled regular
2021-12-29 2022 UC Davis @ UC Riverside canceled regular
2021-12-19 2022 Gonzaga @ UC Davis 66–69 regular
2021-12-16 2022 UC Davis @ Stanford 42–68 regular
2021-12-14 2022 Stanislaus State @ UC Davis 55–84 non_d1
2021-12-05 2022 Washington State @ UC Davis 71–49 regular
2021-12-01 2022 UC Davis @ Oregon 64–57 regular
2021-11-26 2022 Weber State @ UC Davis 54–62 regular
2021-11-24 2022 UC Davis @ Sacramento State 75–46 regular
2021-11-19 2022 UC Davis @ San Francisco 46–73 regular
2021-11-13 2022 Saint Mary's @ UC Davis 52–50 regular
2021-11-10 2022 Academy of Art @ UC Davis 51–69 non_d1