cbb·system

UC Davis Aggies

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.94 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.93 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.01 points per possession 0.18
PACE 67.35 possessions per game 4.63

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-02 19:30), with 29 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

UC Davis AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 0.60 to 1.23 over 125 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20231614 0.533

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbUC Davis auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-08 2023 UC Santa Barbara @ UC Davis N 70–36 conf_tournament
2023-03-04 2023 UC Davis @ Long Beach State 65–56 regular
2023-03-03 2023 UC Davis @ UC Santa Barbara 80–59 regular
2023-02-25 2023 Cal Poly @ UC Davis 56–70 regular
2023-02-24 2023 Cal State Fullerton @ UC Davis 70–58 regular
2023-02-20 2023 UC Davis @ UC San Diego 72–49 regular
2023-02-18 2023 UC Irvine @ UC Davis canceled regular
2023-02-16 2023 UC Davis @ Cal State Northridge 71–50 regular
2023-02-11 2023 UC Santa Barbara @ UC Davis 77–64 regular
2023-02-10 2023 UC Riverside @ UC Davis 64–73 regular
2023-02-03 2023 UC Davis @ Hawai'i 57–47 regular
2023-01-28 2023 Long Beach State @ UC Davis 66–45 regular
2023-01-27 2023 Cal State Bakersfield @ UC Davis 57–79 regular
2023-01-22 2023 UC Davis @ Cal Poly 74–52 regular
2023-01-20 2023 UC Davis @ UC Riverside 60–48 regular
2023-01-16 2023 UC San Diego @ UC Davis 65–63 regular
2023-01-14 2023 UC Davis @ Cal State Fullerton 51–67 regular
2023-01-12 2023 Cal State Northridge @ UC Davis 73–83 regular
2023-01-07 2023 UC Davis @ Cal State Bakersfield 60–43 regular
2023-01-06 2023 UC Davis @ UC Irvine 38–67 regular
2022-12-30 2023 Hawai'i @ UC Davis 70–62 regular
2022-12-20 2023 Northern Arizona @ UC Davis 83–81 regular
2022-12-16 2023 Jessup @ UC Davis 30–76 non_d1
2022-12-11 2023 UC Davis @ Gonzaga 55–73 regular
2022-12-04 2023 UC Davis @ Saint Mary's 53–58 regular
2022-11-27 2023 UC Davis @ Pacific 74–68 regular
2022-11-26 2023 Wyoming @ UC Davis N 67–48 regular
2022-11-23 2023 Sacramento State @ UC Davis N 67–45 regular
2022-11-17 2023 Boise State @ UC Davis 62–69 regular
2022-11-12 2023 UC Davis @ Washington 60–82 regular
2022-11-07 2023 Bethel (KS) @ UC Davis 36–84 non_d1