cbb·system

UC Davis Aggies

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2020

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.98 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.94 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.04 points per possession 0.19
PACE 66.41 possessions per game 4.69

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-12 18:00), with 28 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

UC Davis AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020. Axis spans 56.36 to 158.28 over 107 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

SeasonWLPct
20201712 0.586

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbUC Davis auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2020-03-13 2020 Cal Poly @ UC Davis N canceled conf_tournament
2020-03-08 2020 UC Davis @ Long Beach State 57–66 regular
2020-03-06 2020 UC Davis @ Cal State Northridge 71–58 regular
2020-02-29 2020 UC Riverside @ UC Davis 69–78 regular
2020-02-23 2020 UC Davis @ Hawai'i 65–48 regular
2020-02-20 2020 Cal State Fullerton @ UC Davis 71–61 regular
2020-02-15 2020 UC Irvine @ UC Davis 53–65 regular
2020-02-13 2020 Cal Poly @ UC Davis 58–71 regular
2020-02-08 2020 UC Davis @ UC Irvine 68–73 regular
2020-02-07 2020 UC Davis @ Cal State Fullerton 72–61 regular
2020-02-01 2020 UC Santa Barbara @ UC Davis 63–66 regular
2020-01-30 2020 Cal State Northridge @ UC Davis 39–61 regular
2020-01-25 2020 UC Davis @ Cal Poly 42–36 regular
2020-01-24 2020 UC Davis @ UC Santa Barbara 56–46 regular
2020-01-17 2020 Long Beach State @ UC Davis 55–57 regular
2020-01-11 2020 Hawai'i @ UC Davis 49–62 regular
2020-01-10 2020 UC Davis @ UC Riverside 70–75 regular
2020-01-01 2020 Jessup @ UC Davis 32–96 non_d1
2019-12-28 2020 UC Davis @ Stanford 55–67 regular
2019-12-19 2020 UC Davis @ Pepperdine 67–70 regular
2019-12-15 2020 UC Davis @ Minnesota 67–76 regular
2019-12-08 2020 UC Davis @ Northern Arizona 71–61 regular
2019-12-06 2020 Boston University @ UC Davis 68–75 regular
2019-11-30 2020 Portland State @ UC Davis 76–70 regular
2019-11-27 2020 Sacramento State @ UC Davis 75–77 regular
2019-11-23 2020 San Francisco @ UC Davis 67–79 regular
2019-11-20 2020 UC Davis @ Saint Mary's 74–83 regular
2019-11-16 2020 Santa Clara @ UC Davis 62–61 regular
2019-11-13 2020 UC Davis @ Fresno State 65–73 regular
2019-11-09 2020 UC Davis @ Montana State 65–77 regular