cbb·system

Florida State Seminoles

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Round of 32 (out) 2014

Ratings · 2014

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.04 points per possession 0.11
DE 0.76 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.28 points per possession 0.17
PACE 71.24 possessions per game 4.74

At season 2014's latest cutoff (2014-04-09 00:30), with 33 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Florida State AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2014. Axis spans 0.76 to 1.27 over 114 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2014

SeasonWLPct
20142112 0.636

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbFlorida State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2014-03-24 2014 Florida State @ Stanford N 44–63 ncaa_tournament
2014-03-22 2014 Florida State @ Iowa State N 55–44 ncaa_tournament
2014-03-07 2014 Florida State @ Notre Dame N 57–83 conf_tournament
2014-03-06 2014 Florida State @ Miami N 72–67 conf_tournament
2014-03-02 2014 Virginia @ Florida State 70–82 regular
2014-02-28 2014 Georgia Tech @ Florida State 86–78 regular
2014-02-23 2014 Florida State @ Clemson 59–43 regular
2014-02-21 2014 Florida State @ Maryland 77–87 regular
2014-02-16 2014 Miami @ Florida State 76–73 regular
2014-02-14 2014 Florida State @ Syracuse 83–59 regular
2014-02-09 2014 Boston College @ Florida State 55–72 regular
2014-02-07 2014 Notre Dame @ Florida State 81–60 regular
2014-02-02 2014 Florida State @ Wake Forest 54–78 regular
2014-01-26 2014 Virginia Tech @ Florida State 54–70 regular
2014-01-24 2014 Duke @ Florida State 85–77 regular
2014-01-19 2014 Florida State @ Virginia 68–85 regular
2014-01-17 2014 Florida State @ NC State 57–80 regular
2014-01-12 2014 North Carolina @ Florida State 65–61 regular
2014-01-10 2014 Florida State @ Miami 68–63 regular
2014-01-03 2014 Florida State @ Pittsburgh 78–69 regular
2013-12-28 2014 UT Martin @ Florida State 53–76 regular
2013-12-22 2014 Florida State @ Long Beach State 72–57 regular
2013-12-21 2014 Pacific @ Florida State N 66–73 regular
2013-12-17 2014 North Florida @ Florida State 42–61 regular
2013-12-08 2014 Jacksonville @ Florida State 33–71 regular
2013-12-05 2014 Michigan State @ Florida State 58–60 regular
2013-12-01 2014 Florida State @ Miami (OH) 71–62 regular
2013-11-30 2014 Stetson @ Florida State 49–79 regular
2013-11-24 2014 Florida State @ Louisville 59–69 regular
2013-11-21 2014 Florida State @ Florida 76–68 regular
2013-11-17 2014 Prairie View A&M @ Florida State 37–88 regular
2013-11-14 2014 Florida State @ Cincinnati 63–58 regular
2013-11-08 2014 UNC Greensboro @ Florida State 59–93 regular