cbb·system

Florida State Seminoles

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Round of 32 (out) 2019

Ratings · 2019

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.05 points per possession 0.14
DE 0.79 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.27 points per possession 0.19
PACE 66.18 possessions per game 4.98

At season 2019's latest cutoff (2019-04-07 22:00), with 33 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Florida State AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2019. Axis spans -0.01 to 1.87 over 130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2019

SeasonWLPct
2019249 0.727

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbFlorida State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2019-03-24 2019 Florida State @ South Carolina 64–72 ncaa_tournament
2019-03-22 2019 Bucknell @ Florida State N 67–70 ncaa_tournament
2019-03-09 2019 Florida State @ NC State N 62–69 conf_tournament
2019-03-08 2019 Duke @ Florida State N 41–51 conf_tournament
2019-03-03 2019 Florida State @ Georgia Tech 64–55 regular
2019-03-01 2019 Syracuse @ Florida State 94–88 regular
2019-02-24 2019 Florida State @ Miami 54–64 regular
2019-02-17 2019 Pittsburgh @ Florida State 46–78 regular
2019-02-15 2019 Florida State @ Clemson 68–73 regular
2019-02-10 2019 Florida State @ Notre Dame 70–97 regular
2019-02-08 2019 NC State @ Florida State 70–75 regular
2019-02-03 2019 Wake Forest @ Florida State 61–85 regular
2019-02-01 2019 Miami @ Florida State 58–62 regular
2019-01-27 2019 Florida State @ Virginia Tech 56–54 regular
2019-01-25 2019 Louisville @ Florida State 68–49 regular
2019-01-20 2019 Duke @ Florida State 62–66 regular
2019-01-18 2019 Florida State @ Boston College 91–71 regular
2019-01-13 2019 Clemson @ Florida State 57–45 regular
2019-01-06 2019 Florida State @ North Carolina 64–63 regular
2019-01-04 2019 Florida State @ Virginia 63–61 regular
2018-12-29 2019 Georgia State @ Florida State 43–79 regular
2018-12-21 2019 Florida State @ Milwaukee 87–62 regular
2018-12-16 2019 Creighton @ Florida State 52–71 regular
2018-12-09 2019 Florida State @ St. John's 57–53 regular
2018-12-06 2019 Florida State @ Mercer 57–56 regular
2018-11-30 2019 Penn State @ Florida State 58–87 regular
2018-11-24 2019 Florida State @ Iowa N 71–67 regular
2018-11-23 2019 Eastern Kentucky @ Florida State N 45–62 regular
2018-11-18 2019 LSU @ Florida State 58–45 regular
2018-11-16 2019 Jacksonville @ Florida State 46–79 regular
2018-11-11 2019 Florida @ Florida State 56–63 regular
2018-11-10 2019 North Florida @ Florida State 53–74 regular
2018-11-06 2019 Troy @ Florida State 67–103 regular