North Carolina Central Eagles

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Ratings · 2020

Dimension	Value	Unit	σ
OE	0.84	points per possession	0.13
DE	1.03	points per possession	0.13
ME	-0.20	points per possession	0.19
PACE	72.77	possessions per game	4.40

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-12 18:00), with 28 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020. Axis spans 0.47 to 1.13 over 107 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

Season	W	L	Pct
2020	13	17	0.433

Season

Pct

2020

0.433

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

Source	Name	Reviewed
espn_wbb	North Carolina Central	auto

Source

Name

Reviewed

espn_wbb

North Carolina Central

auto

Schedule & results

Date	S	Matchup	Score	Type
2020-03-13	2020	Maryland Eastern Shore @ North Carolina Central N	canceled	conf_tournament
2020-03-12	2020	North Carolina Central @ North Carolina A&T N	56–54	conf_tournament
2020-03-05	2020	North Carolina A&T @ North Carolina Central	52–65	regular
2020-03-02	2020	Bethune-Cookman @ North Carolina Central	70–55	regular
2020-02-29	2020	North Carolina Central @ South Carolina State	55–49	regular
2020-02-24	2020	Howard @ North Carolina Central	71–89	regular
2020-02-22	2020	Maryland Eastern Shore @ North Carolina Central	70–78	regular
2020-02-15	2020	North Carolina Central @ North Carolina A&T	86–80	regular
2020-02-10	2020	North Carolina Central @ Morgan State	79–86	regular
2020-02-08	2020	North Carolina Central @ Coppin State	58–44	regular
2020-02-03	2020	Norfolk State @ North Carolina Central	83–75	regular
2020-02-01	2020	South Carolina State @ North Carolina Central	49–90	regular
2020-01-25	2020	Delaware State @ North Carolina Central	64–60	regular
2020-01-20	2020	North Carolina Central @ Florida A&M	71–70	regular
2020-01-18	2020	North Carolina Central @ Bethune-Cookman	52–73	regular
2020-01-13	2020	North Carolina Central @ Maryland Eastern Shore	63–65	regular
2020-01-11	2020	North Carolina Central @ Delaware State	54–64	regular
2020-01-04	2020	Florida A&M @ North Carolina Central	57–66	regular
2019-12-28	2020	North Carolina Central @ Long Island University	61–59	regular
2019-12-21	2020	Lincoln (PA) @ North Carolina Central	68–53	non_d1
2019-12-17	2020	Washington Adventist @ North Carolina Central	48–83	non_d1
2019-12-14	2020	North Carolina Central @ Iowa	50–102	regular
2019-12-08	2020	North Carolina Central @ North Carolina	53–92	regular
2019-12-06	2020	Florida International @ North Carolina Central	59–58	regular
2019-12-03	2020	North Carolina Central @ Cal State Bakersfield	71–80	regular
2019-11-30	2020	Penn State @ North Carolina Central N	92–68	regular
2019-11-29	2020	North Carolina Central @ California	69–90	regular
2019-11-24	2020	High Point @ North Carolina Central	78–58	regular
2019-11-19	2020	Campbell @ North Carolina Central	64–67	regular
2019-11-15	2020	North Carolina Central @ Charleston	78–85	regular
2019-11-12	2020	Winthrop @ North Carolina Central	56–46	regular