cbb·system

Harvard Crimson

mens Ivy canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2022

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.98 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.05 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.07 points per possession 0.18
PACE 67.50 possessions per game 4.46

At season 2022's latest cutoff (2022-04-05 01:20), with 25 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Harvard AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2022. Axis spans 0.74 to 1.31 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2022

SeasonWLPct
20221313 0.500

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdHarvard auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2022-03-05 2022 Dartmouth @ Harvard 76–54 regular
2022-02-27 2022 Princeton @ Harvard 74–73 regular
2022-02-26 2022 Harvard @ Princeton 67–74 regular
2022-02-20 2022 Cornell @ Harvard 72–77 regular
2022-02-19 2022 Columbia @ Harvard 54–62 regular
2022-02-12 2022 Harvard @ Pennsylvania 74–82 regular
2022-02-10 2022 Yale @ Harvard 62–59 regular
2022-02-06 2022 Harvard @ Yale 55–58 regular
2022-02-05 2022 Harvard @ Brown 65–50 regular
2022-01-28 2022 Pennsylvania @ Harvard 78–74 regular
2022-01-22 2022 Harvard @ Cornell 61–76 regular
2022-01-18 2022 Harvard @ Dartmouth 60–59 regular
2022-01-15 2022 Harvard @ Columbia 91–82 regular
2022-01-09 2022 Yale @ Harvard scheduled regular
2022-01-08 2022 Brown @ Harvard 84–73 regular
2022-01-02 2022 Princeton @ Harvard scheduled regular
2021-12-22 2022 Howard @ Harvard 69–77 regular
2021-12-19 2022 Holy Cross @ Harvard 54–62 regular
2021-12-07 2022 Babson @ Harvard 64–74 non_d1
2021-12-04 2022 Harvard @ Massachusetts 77–87 regular
2021-12-02 2022 Rhode Island @ Harvard 64–57 regular
2021-11-27 2022 Northeastern @ Harvard 57–77 regular
2021-11-25 2022 Colgate @ Harvard 84–89 regular
2021-11-23 2022 Harvard @ Siena 69–72 regular
2021-11-20 2022 MIT @ Harvard 52–98 non_d1
2021-11-18 2022 Harvard @ UAlbany 60–53 regular
2021-11-13 2022 Harvard @ Iona 87–90 regular
2021-11-10 2022 Morehouse @ Harvard 70–86 non_d1